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Shonan Bellmare – Cerezo Osaka: predictions and statistics
Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Expected goals · home / away
- 1.20 / 1.24
Match preview
Shonan Bellmare — Cerezo Osaka: Японы J1 лиг, 9-р сарын 22, Ням, УБ-ын цагаар 18:00. Цэнгэлдэх: Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka.
Standings: Shonan Bellmare — position 17 (32 points, 30 played), Cerezo Osaka — position 13 (38 points, 29 played).
Last 5 matches — Shonan Bellmare: W L L W L; Cerezo Osaka: D L L L L.
5 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.03.30): Shonan Bellmare 1 wins, 1 draws, Cerezo Osaka 3 wins.
Cerezo Osaka — 4 consecutive losses.
Model probabilities: Shonan Bellmare win 35%, draw 28%, Cerezo Osaka win 37%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 2.45.
Under 2.5 goals probability 56%; both teams to score probability 50%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 35% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 28% |
| Away win (2) | 37% |
| 1X | 63% |
| X2 | 65% |
| 12 | 72% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 9% | 91% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 2.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 3.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 4.5 | 90% | 10% |
| 5.5 | 96% | 4% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 50% | No 50% |
First half
| 1 | 27% |
|---|---|
| X | 44% |
| 2 | 29% |
| Over 0.5 | 67% |
| Over 1.5 | 30% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 15% | – | 85% |
| -1.0 | 15% | 20% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | – | 65% |
| +0.0 | 35% | 28% | 37% |
| +0.5 | 63% | – | 37% |
| +1.0 | 63% | 21% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | – | 16% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 1:113.2%
- 0:110.5%
- 1:010.1%
- 0:08.9%
- 1:28.1%
- 2:17.8%
Expected goals: Shonan Bellmare 1.20 · Cerezo Osaka 1.24
Team statistics
| Shonan Bellmarehome | Cerezo Osakaaway | |
| Matches | 10 | 10 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.20 | 0.90 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 10% |
| Both teams to score | 50% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 40% | 30% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Shonan Bellmare — recent matches
Cerezo Osaka — recent matches
Shonan Bellmare — home
Head-to-head
- 24.03.30 Cerezo Osaka – Shonan Bellmare 2-0 (0-0)
- Манай санд байгаа өмнөх тоглолтууд — дунд нь манай санд байхгүй тоглолт байж болно
- 23.09.30 Cerezo Osaka – Shonan Bellmare 0-2 (0-0)
- 23.05.20 Shonan Bellmare – Cerezo Osaka 0-2 (0-0)
- 22.10.01 Cerezo Osaka – Shonan Bellmare 1-1 (0-0)
- 22.05.29 Shonan Bellmare – Cerezo Osaka 0-2 (0-1)
Shonan Bellmare — trends
No notable streaks.
Cerezo Osaka — trends
Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.