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Lillestrom – Sarpsborg 08 FF: predictions and statistics
Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Expected goals · home / away
- 1.97 / 1.72
Match preview
Lillestrom — Sarpsborg 08 FF: Норвегийн Eliteserien, 7-р сарын 28, Ням, УБ-ын цагаар 23:00. Цэнгэлдэх: Åråsen Stadion.
Standings: Lillestrom — position 8 (19 points, 14 played), Sarpsborg 08 FF — position 14 (17 points, 15 played).
Last 5 matches — Lillestrom: L W W L W; Sarpsborg 08 FF: L L W W D.
3 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.05.05): Lillestrom 0 wins, 0 draws, Sarpsborg 08 FF 3 wins.
Lillestrom — 7 consecutive matches with over 2.5 goals.
Sarpsborg 08 FF — both teams scored in the last 9 matches.
Model probabilities: Lillestrom win 45%, draw 21%, Sarpsborg 08 FF win 34%. Most likely score 2:1, expected total goals 3.70.
Over 2.5 goals probability 71%; both teams to score probability 70%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 45% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 21% |
| Away win (2) | 34% |
| 1X | 66% |
| X2 | 55% |
| 12 | 79% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 2% | 98% |
| 1.5 | 12% | 88% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 71% |
| 3.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 5.5 | 83% | 17% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 70% | No 30% |
First half
| 1 | 36% |
|---|---|
| X | 34% |
| 2 | 30% |
| Over 0.5 | 81% |
| Over 1.5 | 50% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 25% | – | 75% |
| -1.0 | 25% | 20% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | – | 55% |
| +0.0 | 45% | 21% | 34% |
| +0.5 | 66% | – | 34% |
| +1.0 | 66% | 17% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | – | 17% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 2:18.3%
- 1:18.1%
- 1:27.3%
- 2:27.2%
- 3:15.5%
- 1:05.2%
Expected goals: Lillestrom 1.97 · Sarpsborg 08 FF 1.72
Team statistics
| Lillestromhome | Sarpsborg 08 FFaway | |
| Matches | 7 | 7 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.14 | 1.86 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 2.29 | 1.86 |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 57% |
| Both teams to score | 57% | 71% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 14% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 43% | 14% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Lillestrom — recent matches
Sarpsborg 08 FF — recent matches
Lillestrom — home
Head-to-head
- 24.05.05 Sarpsborg 08 FF – Lillestrom 1-0 (0-0)
- Манай санд байгаа өмнөх тоглолтууд — дунд нь манай санд байхгүй тоглолт байж болно
- 23.09.17 Sarpsborg 08 FF – Lillestrom 3-1 (2-0)
- 23.05.17 Lillestrom – Sarpsborg 08 FF 1-2 (0-0)
Lillestrom — trends
Sarpsborg 08 FF — trends
Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.