The last saved data is shown below. Updates are delayed, so scores and statuses may have changed.
Sheger Ketema – Negelle Arsi: predictions and statistics
This prediction was published and locked before the match and will not change.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Recent matches · home / away
- 4 / 4
- Days since last match
- 4 / 4
- Sufficient league history
- Yes
- Expected goals · home / away
- 0.63 / 1.09
- Data-dependent strength weight
- 0.87
Match preview
Sheger Ketema — Negelle Arsi: Ethiopia · Premier League, 10/30 · Friday, 20:00 Ulaanbaatar time.
Last 4 matches — Sheger Ketema: W D L D; Negelle Arsi: D D W W.
Negelle Arsi — 3 consecutive clean sheets.
Model probabilities: Sheger Ketema win 21%, draw 33%, Negelle Arsi win 46%. Most likely score 0:1, expected total goals 1.73.
Under 2.5 goals probability 75%; both teams to score probability 31%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 21% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 33% |
| Away win (2) | 46% |
| 1X | 54% |
| X2 | 79% |
| 12 | 67% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 18% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 2.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 90% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 97% | 3% |
| 5.5 | 99% | 1% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 31% | No 69% |
First half
| 1 | 16% |
|---|---|
| X | 53% |
| 2 | 31% |
| Over 0.5 | 54% |
| Over 1.5 | 18% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 6% | – | 94% |
| -1.0 | 6% | 15% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | – | 79% |
| +0.0 | 21% | 33% | 46% |
| +0.5 | 54% | – | 46% |
| +1.0 | 54% | 27% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | – | 19% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 0:119.1%
- 0:018.1%
- 1:112.6%
- 1:011.0%
- 0:210.6%
- 1:26.7%
Expected goals: Sheger Ketema 0.63 · Negelle Arsi 1.09
Team statistics
| Sheger Ketemahome | Negelle Arsiaway | |
| Matches | – | 3 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | – | 1.33 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | – | 0.33 |
| Over 1.5 | – | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | – | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | – | 0% |
| Both teams to score | – | 33% |
| Clean sheets | – | 67% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | – | 33% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Sheger Ketema — recent matches
Negelle Arsi — recent matches
Sheger Ketema — home
- Энэ хугацаанд гэртээ тоглосон тоглолт манай санд алга
Head-to-head
No head-to-head matches are stored.
Sheger Ketema — trends
No notable streaks.
Negelle Arsi — trends
Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.