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Fasil Ketema – Bahardar: predictions and statistics
This prediction was published and locked before the match and will not change.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Recent matches · home / away
- 3 / 3
- Days since last match
- 7 / 9
- Sufficient league history
- Yes
- Expected goals · home / away
- 0.70 / 1.13
- Data-dependent strength weight
- 0.80
Match preview
Fasil Ketema — Bahardar: Ethiopia · Premier League, 10/31 · Saturday, 20:00 Ulaanbaatar time.
Last 3 matches — Fasil Ketema: D D L; Bahardar: W L W.
2 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2025.03.06): Fasil Ketema 0 wins, 1 draws, Bahardar 1 wins.
Model probabilities: Fasil Ketema win 22%, draw 32%, Bahardar win 45%. Most likely score 0:1, expected total goals 1.83.
Under 2.5 goals probability 72%; both teams to score probability 34%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 22% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 32% |
| Away win (2) | 45% |
| 1X | 55% |
| X2 | 78% |
| 12 | 68% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 16% | 84% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 2.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 96% | 4% |
| 5.5 | 99% | 1% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 34% | No 66% |
First half
| 1 | 18% |
|---|---|
| X | 51% |
| 2 | 31% |
| Over 0.5 | 56% |
| Over 1.5 | 20% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 6% | – | 94% |
| -1.0 | 6% | 16% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | – | 78% |
| +0.0 | 22% | 32% | 45% |
| +0.5 | 55% | – | 45% |
| +1.0 | 55% | 26% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | – | 19% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 0:117.8%
- 0:016.4%
- 1:113.0%
- 1:010.9%
- 0:210.2%
- 1:27.2%
Expected goals: Fasil Ketema 0.70 · Bahardar 1.13
Team statistics
| Fasil Ketemahome | Bahardaraway | |
| Matches | – | 3 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | – | 1.33 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | – | 0.67 |
| Over 1.5 | – | 33% |
| Over 2.5 | – | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | – | 33% |
| Both teams to score | – | 33% |
| Clean sheets | – | 33% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | – | 33% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Fasil Ketema — recent matches
Bahardar — recent matches
Fasil Ketema — home
- Энэ хугацаанд гэртээ тоглосон тоглолт манай санд алга
Head-to-head
- Манай санд байгаа өмнөх тоглолтууд — дунд нь манай санд байхгүй тоглолт байж болно
- 25.03.06 Fasil Ketema – Bahardar 0-0 (0-0)
- 25.02.09 Bahardar – Fasil Ketema 2-1 (0-0)