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Mara Sugar – AFC Leopards: predictions and statistics
This prediction was published and locked before the match and will not change.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Recent matches · home / away
- 3 / 3
- Days since last match
- 4 / 3
- Sufficient league history
- Yes
- Expected goals · home / away
- 0.95 / 1.03
- Data-dependent strength weight
- 0.80
Match preview
Mara Sugar — AFC Leopards: Kenya · FKF Premier League, 10/28 · Wednesday, 21:15 Ulaanbaatar time.
Standings: Mara Sugar — position 5 (5 points, 3 played), AFC Leopards — position 6 (5 points, 3 played).
Last 3 matches — Mara Sugar: D W D; AFC Leopards: D W D.
2 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2025.02.15): Mara Sugar 0 wins, 1 draws, AFC Leopards 1 wins.
Model probabilities: Mara Sugar win 30%, draw 36%, AFC Leopards win 34%. Most likely score 0:0, expected total goals 1.97.
Under 2.5 goals probability 68%; both teams to score probability 42%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 30% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 36% |
| Away win (2) | 34% |
| 1X | 66% |
| X2 | 70% |
| 12 | 64% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 16% | 84% |
| 1.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 2.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 3.5 | 86% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 95% | 5% |
| 5.5 | 98% | 2% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 42% | No 58% |
First half
| 1 | 24% |
|---|---|
| X | 50% |
| 2 | 26% |
| Over 0.5 | 59% |
| Over 1.5 | 22% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 12% | – | 88% |
| -1.0 | 12% | 18% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | – | 70% |
| +0.0 | 30% | 36% | 34% |
| +0.5 | 66% | – | 34% |
| +1.0 | 66% | 20% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | – | 14% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 0:016.5%
- 1:116.1%
- 0:111.7%
- 1:010.6%
- 0:27.3%
- 1:26.9%
Expected goals: Mara Sugar 0.95 · AFC Leopards 1.03
Team statistics
| Mara Sugarhome | AFC Leopardsaway | |
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams to score | 100% | 100% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 0% | 0% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Mara Sugar — recent matches
AFC Leopards — recent matches
Mara Sugar — home
AFC Leopards — away
Head-to-head
- Манай санд байгаа өмнөх тоглолтууд — дунд нь манай санд байхгүй тоглолт байж болно
- 25.02.15 Mara Sugar – AFC Leopards 1-2 (0-1)
- 24.11.10 AFC Leopards – Mara Sugar 1-1 (0-1)