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Durango – Monarcas: predictions and statistics

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · Апертура · 15-р тойрог 11/1 · Sunday · 09:00
–
09:00
PredictionHome
Predicted score2:0
Expected goals3.10
Data quality Medium data quality

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Recent matches · home / away
4 / 4
Days since last match
7 / 6
Sufficient league history
Yes
Expected goals · home / away
2.23 / 0.87
Data-dependent strength weight
0.87

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

Durango — Monarcas: Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX, 11/1 · Sunday, 09:00 Ulaanbaatar time. Venue: Estadio Francisco Zarco.

Last 4 matches — Durango: W D W L; Monarcas: D D L W.

Model probabilities: Durango win 67%, draw 20%, Monarcas win 12%. Most likely score 2:0, expected total goals 3.10.

Over 2.5 goals probability 60%; both teams to score probability 53%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)67%
Draw (X)20%
Away win (2)12%
1X88%
X233%
1280%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.55%95%
1.518%82%
2.540%60%
3.563%37%
4.580%20%
5.591%9%
Both teams to scoreYes 53%No 47%

First half

150%
X36%
214%
Over 0.575%
Over 1.541%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 45%4%1% X 20%11%5% 2 3%4%7%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.545%–55%
-1.045%23%33%
-0.567%–33%
+0.067%20%12%
+0.588%–12%
+1.088%8%4%
+1.596%–4%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 2:011.2%
  2. 2:19.7%
  3. 1:19.6%
  4. 1:09.2%
  5. 3:08.3%
  6. 3:17.2%

Expected goals: Durango 2.23 · Monarcas 0.87

Team statistics

DurangohomeDurangoallMonarcasallMonarcasaway
Matches2442
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт4.502.751.251.50
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт1.001.251.251.00
Over 1.5100%75%100%100%
Over 2.5100%75%50%50%
Over 3.5100%75%0%0%
Both teams to score50%50%100%100%
Clean sheets50%50%0%0%
Гоол оруулаагүй0%25%0%0%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

No head-to-head matches are stored.

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX — other matches on this date