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FC Porto – Estoril: predictions and statistics

Португалийн Primeira Liga · 10-р тойрог 11/1 · Sunday · 04:30
–
04:30

Estoril

LLLDL
PredictionHome
Predicted score2:0
Expected goals3.11
Data quality High data quality

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Recent matches · home / away
28 / 27
Days since last match
3 / 6
Sufficient league history
Yes
Expected goals · home / away
2.45 / 0.66
Data-dependent strength weight
1.00

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

FC Porto — Estoril: Португалийн Primeira Liga, 11-р сарын 1, Ням, УБ-ын цагаар 04:30. Цэнгэлдэх: Estádio do Dragão.

Standings: FC Porto — position 1 (27 points, 9 played), Estoril — position 18 (2 points, 9 played).

Last 5 matches — FC Porto: W L L W W; Estoril: L L L D L.

8 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2026.04.13): FC Porto 5 wins, 1 draws, Estoril 2 wins.

Estoril — 10 matches without a win.

Model probabilities: FC Porto win 77%, draw 14%, Estoril win 8%. Most likely score 2:0, expected total goals 3.11.

Over 2.5 goals probability 60%; both teams to score probability 44%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)77%
Draw (X)14%
Away win (2)8%
1X92%
X223%
1286%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.54%96%
1.519%81%
2.540%60%
3.562%38%
4.580%20%
5.591%9%
Both teams to scoreYes 44%No 56%

First half

157%
X33%
210%
Over 0.575%
Over 1.541%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 53%3%1% X 21%9%3% 2 3%3%4%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.554%–46%
-1.054%23%23%
-0.577%–23%
+0.077%14%8%
+0.592%–8%
+1.092%6%2%
+1.598%–2%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 2:013.4%
  2. 1:011.4%
  3. 3:011.0%
  4. 2:18.8%
  5. 3:17.2%
  6. 1:16.8%

Expected goals: FC Porto 2.45 · Estoril 0.66

Team statistics

FC PortohomeFC PortoallEstorilallEstorilaway
Matches610105
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт1.672.000.600.60
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт0.500.801.601.60
Over 1.567%70%80%80%
Over 2.533%60%40%40%
Over 3.517%30%10%0%
Both teams to score33%50%60%60%
Clean sheets50%40%10%0%
Гоол оруулаагүй17%10%40%40%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

FC Porto — trends

No notable streaks.

Estoril — trends

Winless ×10Estoril 10 matches without a win

Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.

Португалийн Primeira Liga — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт