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Alaves – Atletico Madrid: predictions and statistics
This prediction was published and locked before the match and will not change.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Expected goals · home / away
- 0.89 / 1.39
Match preview
Alaves — Atletico Madrid: Испанийн Ла Лига, 10-р сарын 10, Бямба, УБ-ын цагаар 22:15. Цэнгэлдэх: Estadio de Mendizorroza.
Standings: Alaves — position 6 (11 points, 7 played), Atletico Madrid — position 2 (16 points, 7 played).
Last 5 matches — Alaves: W W L L D; Atletico Madrid: W L W W W.
6 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2026.01.18): Alaves 1 wins, 2 draws, Atletico Madrid 3 wins.
Atletico Madrid — 6 consecutive matches with over 2.5 goals.
Model probabilities: Alaves win 24%, draw 28%, Atletico Madrid win 48%. Most likely score 0:1, expected total goals 2.27.
Under 2.5 goals probability 60%; both teams to score probability 44%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 24% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 28% |
| Away win (2) | 48% |
| 1X | 52% |
| X2 | 76% |
| 12 | 72% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 10% | 90% |
| 1.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 2.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 3.5 | 80% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 92% | 8% |
| 5.5 | 97% | 3% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 44% | No 56% |
First half
| 1 | 20% |
|---|---|
| X | 45% |
| 2 | 35% |
| Over 0.5 | 64% |
| Over 1.5 | 27% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 8% | – | 92% |
| -1.0 | 8% | 16% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | – | 76% |
| +0.0 | 24% | 28% | 48% |
| +0.5 | 52% | – | 48% |
| +1.0 | 52% | 25% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | – | 23% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 0:114.2%
- 1:112.7%
- 0:010.4%
- 0:29.9%
- 1:09.1%
- 1:28.8%
Expected goals: Alaves 0.89 · Atletico Madrid 1.39
Team statistics
| Alaveshome | Atletico Madridaway | |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 2.25 | 2.00 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 0.75 | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 33% |
| Both teams to score | 25% | 33% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 33% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 25% | 33% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Alaves — recent matches
Atletico Madrid — recent matches
Alaves — home
Head-to-head
- Манай санд байгаа өмнөх тоглолтууд — дунд нь манай санд байхгүй тоглолт байж болно
- 26.01.18 Atletico Madrid – Alaves 1-0 (0-0)
- 25.08.30 Alaves – Atletico Madrid 1-1 (1-1)
- 25.05.03 Alaves – Atletico Madrid 0-0 (0-0)
- 24.11.23 Atletico Madrid – Alaves 2-1 (0-1)
- 24.04.22 Alaves – Atletico Madrid 2-0 (1-0)
- 23.10.30 Atletico Madrid – Alaves 2-1 (2-0)
Alaves — trends
No notable streaks.
Atletico Madrid — trends
Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.