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Jagiellonia – Gornik Zabrze: predictions and statistics
This prediction was published and locked before the match and will not change.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Expected goals · home / away
- 1.66 / 1.08
Match preview
Jagiellonia — Gornik Zabrze: Польшийн Ekstraklasa, 10-р сарын 11, Ням, УБ-ын цагаар 02:15. Цэнгэлдэх: Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku.
4 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2025.05.04): Jagiellonia 2 wins, 1 draws, Gornik Zabrze 1 wins.
Model probabilities: Jagiellonia win 51%, draw 24%, Gornik Zabrze win 25%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 2.74.
Over 2.5 goals probability 51%; both teams to score probability 53%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 51% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 24% |
| Away win (2) | 25% |
| 1X | 75% |
| X2 | 49% |
| 12 | 76% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 6% | 94% |
| 1.5 | 24% | 76% |
| 2.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 3.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 4.5 | 86% | 14% |
| 5.5 | 94% | 6% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 53% | No 47% |
First half
| 1 | 38% |
|---|---|
| X | 41% |
| 2 | 21% |
| Over 0.5 | 71% |
| Over 1.5 | 35% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 27% | – | 73% |
| -1.0 | 27% | 24% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | – | 49% |
| +0.0 | 51% | 24% | 25% |
| +0.5 | 75% | – | 25% |
| +1.0 | 75% | 15% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | – | 9% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 1:111.5%
- 1:010.8%
- 2:19.6%
- 2:08.9%
- 0:17.1%
- 0:06.4%
Expected goals: Jagiellonia 1.66 · Gornik Zabrze 1.08
Jagiellonia — recent matches
- No matches are stored for the last 60 days
Gornik Zabrze — recent matches
- No matches are stored for the last 60 days
Jagiellonia — home
- No matches are stored for the last 60 days
Gornik Zabrze — away
- No matches are stored for the last 60 days
Head-to-head
- Манай санд байгаа өмнөх тоглолтууд — дунд нь манай санд байхгүй тоглолт байж болно
- 25.05.04 Jagiellonia – Gornik Zabrze 1-1 (1-1)
- 24.11.03 Gornik Zabrze – Jagiellonia 0-2 (0-0)
- 24.03.02 Gornik Zabrze – Jagiellonia 2-1 (1-0)
- 23.08.27 Jagiellonia – Gornik Zabrze 4-1 (3-1)