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Gremio – Atletico Paranaense: predictions and statistics
This prediction was published and locked before the match and will not change.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Recent matches · home / away
- 32 / 32
- Days since last match
- 3 / 5
- Sufficient league history
- Yes
- Expected goals · home / away
- 1.39 / 1.27
- Data-dependent strength weight
- 1.00
Match preview
Gremio — Atletico Paranaense: Бразилийн Сери А, 10-р сарын 30, Баасан, УБ-ын цагаар 08:30. Цэнгэлдэх: Arena do Grêmio.
Standings: Gremio — position 17 (34 points, 32 played), Atletico Paranaense — position 4 (54 points, 32 played).
Last 5 matches — Gremio: D D D L W; Atletico Paranaense: W D W L D.
5 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2026.05.03): Gremio 3 wins, 1 draws, Atletico Paranaense 1 wins.
Model probabilities: Gremio win 40%, draw 26%, Atletico Paranaense win 34%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 2.66.
Under 2.5 goals probability 50%; both teams to score probability 54%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 40% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 26% |
| Away win (2) | 34% |
| 1X | 66% |
| X2 | 60% |
| 12 | 74% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 7% | 93% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 75% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 4.5 | 87% | 13% |
| 5.5 | 95% | 5% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 54% | No 46% |
First half
| 1 | 31% |
|---|---|
| X | 42% |
| 2 | 27% |
| Over 0.5 | 70% |
| Over 1.5 | 34% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 19% | – | 81% |
| -1.0 | 19% | 21% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | – | 60% |
| +0.0 | 40% | 26% | 34% |
| +0.5 | 66% | – | 34% |
| +1.0 | 66% | 19% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | – | 15% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 1:112.5%
- 1:09.6%
- 0:18.8%
- 2:18.6%
- 1:27.8%
- 0:07.1%
Expected goals: Gremio 1.39 · Atletico Paranaense 1.27
Team statistics
| Gremiohome | Atletico Paranaenseaway | |
| Matches | 10 | 10 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.60 | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 40% |
| Both teams to score | 80% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 20% | 20% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Gremio — recent matches
Atletico Paranaense — recent matches
Gremio — home
Head-to-head
- 26.05.03 Atletico Paranaense – Gremio 0-0
- Манай санд байгаа өмнөх тоглолтууд — дунд нь манай санд байхгүй тоглолт байж болно
- 24.08.05 Atletico Paranaense – Gremio 0-2 (0-2)
- 24.04.18 Gremio – Atletico Paranaense 2-0 (1-0)
- 23.10.19 Gremio – Atletico Paranaense 1-2 (1-1)
- 23.05.28 Atletico Paranaense – Gremio 1-2 (1-1)