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Tigres UANL – Necaxa: predictions and statistics

Мексикийн Liga MX · Clausura · Quarter-Finals 5/12 · Monday · 11:10
2 : 2
First half 0:0 Finished

Necaxa

WLDWD
PredictionHome
Predicted score2:0
Expected goals2.90
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
1.92 / 0.98

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

Tigres UANL — Necaxa: Мексикийн Liga MX, 5-р сарын 12, Даваа, УБ-ын цагаар 11:10. Цэнгэлдэх: Estadio Universitario.

Standings: Tigres UANL — position 4 (33 points, 17 played), Necaxa — position 5 (31 points, 17 played).

Last 5 matches — Tigres UANL: D W D W D; Necaxa: W L D W D.

5 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2025.05.09): Tigres UANL 4 wins, 1 draws, Necaxa 0 wins.

Tigres UANL — 4 consecutive wins (home).

Model probabilities: Tigres UANL win 59%, draw 24%, Necaxa win 18%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 2.90.

Over 2.5 goals probability 55%; both teams to score probability 54%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)59%
Draw (X)24%
Away win (2)18%
1X82%
X241%
1276%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.56%94%
1.521%79%
2.545%55%
3.567%33%
4.583%17%
5.593%7%
Both teams to scoreYes 54%No 46%

First half

144%
X38%
218%
Over 0.573%
Over 1.537%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 38%4%1% X 18%13%7% 2 3%4%10%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.535%–65%
-1.035%23%41%
-0.559%–41%
+0.059%24%18%
+0.582%–18%
+1.082%11%6%
+1.594%–6%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 1:111.2%
  2. 2:010.2%
  3. 2:19.9%
  4. 1:09.7%
  5. 3:06.5%
  6. 0:06.4%

Expected goals: Tigres UANL 1.92 · Necaxa 0.98

Team statistics

Tigres UANLhomeTigres UANLallNecaxaallNecaxaaway
Matches1010109
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт1.801.001.802.00
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт0.600.701.701.44
Over 1.570%50%80%78%
Over 2.570%50%70%78%
Over 3.510%0%40%44%
Both teams to score50%30%70%56%
Clean sheets40%50%30%33%
Гоол оруулаагүй20%50%10%11%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

Tigres UANL — trends

Ялалт ×4 (гэртээ)Tigres UANL 4 consecutive wins (home)

Necaxa — trends

No notable streaks.

Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.

Мексикийн Liga MX — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт