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Crystal Palace – Aston Villa: predictions and statistics
Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Expected goals · home / away
- 1.41 / 1.29
Match preview
Crystal Palace — Aston Villa: FA Cup (England), 4/27 · Sunday, 00:15 Ulaanbaatar time. Venue: Wembley Stadium.
Last 5 matches — Crystal Palace: W L L D D; Aston Villa: W W W W L.
7 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2025.02.26): Crystal Palace 4 wins, 1 draws, Aston Villa 2 wins.
Aston Villa — 13 consecutive matches scoring.
Model probabilities: Crystal Palace win 40%, draw 26%, Aston Villa win 34%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 2.70.
Over 2.5 goals probability 51%; both teams to score probability 55%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 40% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 26% |
| Away win (2) | 34% |
| 1X | 66% |
| X2 | 60% |
| 12 | 74% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 7% | 93% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 75% |
| 2.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 3.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 4.5 | 86% | 14% |
| 5.5 | 94% | 6% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 55% | No 45% |
First half
| 1 | 31% |
|---|---|
| X | 42% |
| 2 | 27% |
| Over 0.5 | 70% |
| Over 1.5 | 34% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 19% | – | 81% |
| -1.0 | 19% | 21% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | – | 60% |
| +0.0 | 40% | 26% | 34% |
| +0.5 | 66% | – | 34% |
| +1.0 | 66% | 19% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | – | 15% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 1:112.1%
- 1:09.6%
- 0:18.8%
- 2:18.6%
- 1:27.9%
- 2:06.7%
Expected goals: Crystal Palace 1.41 · Aston Villa 1.29
Team statistics
| Crystal Palacehome | Aston Villaaway | |
| Matches | 10 | 10 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.60 | 1.50 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 0.90 | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 20% |
| Both teams to score | 70% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 50% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 10% | 20% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Crystal Palace — recent matches
Aston Villa — recent matches
Crystal Palace — home
Head-to-head
- 25.02.26 Crystal Palace – Aston Villa 4-1 (1-0)
- 24.11.23 Aston Villa – Crystal Palace 2-2 (1-2)
- 24.10.31 Aston Villa – Crystal Palace 1-2 (1-1)
- Манай санд байгаа өмнөх тоглолтууд — дунд нь манай санд байхгүй тоглолт байж болно
- 24.05.19 Crystal Palace – Aston Villa 5-0 (2-0)
- 23.09.16 Aston Villa – Crystal Palace 3-1 (0-0)
- 23.03.04 Aston Villa – Crystal Palace 1-0 (1-0)
- 22.08.20 Crystal Palace – Aston Villa 3-1 (1-1)
Crystal Palace — trends
No notable streaks.
Aston Villa — trends
Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.