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Aris Thessalonikis – Asteras Tripolis: predictions and statistics

Грекийн Супер лиг · Conference League-ийн плей-оффын хэсэг · 6-р тойрог 5/10 · Saturday · 23:30
4 : 2
First half 2:0 Finished
PredictionHome
Predicted score1:0
Expected goals2.21
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
1.40 / 0.81

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

Aris Thessalonikis — Asteras Tripolis: Грекийн Супер лиг, 5-р сарын 10, Бямба, УБ-ын цагаар 23:30. Цэнгэлдэх: Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis.

Standings: Aris Thessalonikis — position 5 (53 points, 31 played), Asteras Tripolis — position 6 (44 points, 31 played).

Last 5 matches — Aris Thessalonikis: W W W D D; Asteras Tripolis: L W W W L.

5 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2025.03.30): Aris Thessalonikis 2 wins, 1 draws, Asteras Tripolis 2 wins.

Aris Thessalonikis — 7 consecutive matches with under 2.5 goals.

Model probabilities: Aris Thessalonikis win 51%, draw 28%, Asteras Tripolis win 22%. Most likely score 1:0, expected total goals 2.21.

Under 2.5 goals probability 62%; both teams to score probability 42%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)51%
Draw (X)28%
Away win (2)22%
1X78%
X249%
1272%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.511%89%
1.535%65%
2.562%38%
3.582%18%
4.593%7%
5.597%3%
Both teams to scoreYes 42%No 58%

First half

136%
X46%
218%
Over 0.563%
Over 1.526%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 30%4%1% X 18%19%9% 2 2%4%12%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.525%–75%
-1.025%26%49%
-0.551%–49%
+0.051%28%22%
+0.578%–22%
+1.078%15%7%
+1.593%–7%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 1:015.2%
  2. 1:112.6%
  3. 0:011.1%
  4. 2:010.7%
  5. 0:18.8%
  6. 2:18.7%

Expected goals: Aris Thessalonikis 1.40 · Asteras Tripolis 0.81

Team statistics

Aris ThessalonikishomeAris ThessalonikisallAsteras TripolisallAsteras Tripolisaway
Matches10101010
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт1.001.300.901.00
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт0.500.801.701.30
Over 1.550%80%90%80%
Over 2.520%20%50%50%
Over 3.50%10%10%0%
Both teams to score20%50%50%50%
Clean sheets60%50%20%30%
Гоол оруулаагүй40%10%30%20%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

Aris Thessalonikis — trends

2.5− ×7Aris Thessalonikis 7 consecutive matches with under 2.5 goals
Clean sheets ×3 (home)Aris Thessalonikis 3 consecutive clean sheets (home)
Unbeaten ×8Aris Thessalonikis 8 matches unbeaten

Asteras Tripolis — trends

No notable streaks.

Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.

Грекийн Супер лиг — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт