The last saved data is shown below. Updates are delayed, so scores and statuses may have changed.
Toluca – Santos Laguna: predictions and statistics
Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Expected goals · home / away
- 3.01 / 0.81
Match preview
Toluca — Santos Laguna: Мексикийн Liga MX, 4-р сарын 7, Даваа, УБ-ын цагаар 08:00. Цэнгэлдэх: Estadio Nemesio Díez.
Standings: Toluca — position 3 (27 points, 13 played), Santos Laguna — position 18 (7 points, 13 played).
Last 5 matches — Toluca: W L W W W; Santos Laguna: W L W L L.
3 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.09.23): Toluca 1 wins, 0 draws, Santos Laguna 2 wins.
Toluca — 8 consecutive matches with over 2.5 goals.
Model probabilities: Toluca win 81%, draw 12%, Santos Laguna win 7%. Most likely score 3:0, expected total goals 3.82.
Over 2.5 goals probability 73%; both teams to score probability 53%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 81% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 12% |
| Away win (2) | 7% |
| 1X | 93% |
| X2 | 19% |
| 12 | 88% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 2% | 98% |
| 1.5 | 10% | 90% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 73% |
| 3.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 4.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 5.5 | 81% | 19% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 53% | No 47% |
First half
| 1 | 62% |
|---|---|
| X | 28% |
| 2 | 10% |
| Over 0.5 | 82% |
| Over 1.5 | 51% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 63% | – | 37% |
| -1.0 | 63% | 18% | 19% |
| -0.5 | 81% | – | 19% |
| +0.0 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +0.5 | 93% | – | 7% |
| +1.0 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | – | 2% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 3:09.9%
- 2:09.9%
- 3:18.1%
- 2:18.0%
- 4:07.5%
- 1:06.3%
Expected goals: Toluca 3.01 · Santos Laguna 0.81
Team statistics
| Tolucahome | Santos Lagunaaway | |
| Matches | 10 | 7 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 2.80 | 0.86 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.00 | 2.14 |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 60% | 29% |
| Both teams to score | 50% | 57% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 0% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 10% | 43% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Toluca — recent matches
Santos Laguna — recent matches
Toluca — home
Head-to-head
- Манай санд байгаа өмнөх тоглолтууд — дунд нь манай санд байхгүй тоглолт байж болно
- 24.09.23 Santos Laguna – Toluca 2-0 (1-0)
- 24.02.22 Toluca – Santos Laguna 1-0 (0-0)
- 23.11.06 Santos Laguna – Toluca 3-1 (1-0)
Toluca — trends
Santos Laguna — trends
No notable streaks.
Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.