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Club Tijuana – Toluca: predictions and statistics

Мексикийн Liga MX · Клаусура · 1-р тойрог 1/11 · Saturday · 11:05
2 : 4
First half 1:1 Finished

Toluca

DLWLL
PredictionVisitors
Predicted score1:2
Expected goals3.08
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
1.39 / 1.69

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

Club Tijuana — Toluca: Мексикийн Liga MX, 1-р сарын 11, Бямба, УБ-ын цагаар 11:05. Цэнгэлдэх: Estadio Caliente.

Last 5 matches — Club Tijuana: W D W W L; Toluca: D L W L L.

3 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.09.15): Club Tijuana 1 wins, 0 draws, Toluca 2 wins.

Club Tijuana — 7 consecutive matches with over 2.5 goals (home).

Model probabilities: Club Tijuana win 31%, draw 25%, Toluca win 44%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 3.08.

Over 2.5 goals probability 59%; both teams to score probability 62%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)31%
Draw (X)25%
Away win (2)44%
1X56%
X269%
1275%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.56%94%
1.518%82%
2.541%59%
3.563%37%
4.580%20%
5.591%9%
Both teams to scoreYes 62%No 38%

First half

127%
X38%
235%
Over 0.575%
Over 1.540%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 19%5%3% X 11%13%14% 2 2%5%27%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.514%–86%
-1.014%17%69%
-0.531%–69%
+0.031%25%44%
+0.556%–44%
+1.056%20%23%
+1.577%–23%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 1:111.7%
  2. 1:29.1%
  3. 2:17.5%
  4. 0:16.8%
  5. 0:26.6%
  6. 2:26.3%

Expected goals: Club Tijuana 1.39 · Toluca 1.69

Team statistics

Club TijuanahomeClub TijuanaallTolucaallTolucaaway
Matches10101010
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт1.901.502.101.00
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт1.201.301.101.20
Over 1.590%90%90%70%
Over 2.590%80%60%40%
Over 3.530%20%50%20%
Both teams to score60%50%50%50%
Clean sheets30%30%30%20%
Гоол оруулаагүй10%30%20%40%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

Club Tijuana — trends

2.5+ ×7 (home)Club Tijuana 7 consecutive matches with over 2.5 goals (home)

Toluca — trends

No notable streaks.

Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.

Мексикийн Liga MX — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт