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Sunderland – Stoke City: predictions and statistics
Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Expected goals · home / away
- 1.64 / 1.09
Match preview
Sunderland — Stoke City: FA Cup (England), 1/11 · Saturday, 23:00 Ulaanbaatar time. Venue: Stadium of Light.
Last 5 matches — Sunderland: W D L W W; Stoke City: L L W D D.
6 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.12.29): Sunderland 3 wins, 0 draws, Stoke City 3 wins.
Sunderland — 13 matches unbeaten (home).
Stoke City — 3 consecutive clean sheets.
Model probabilities: Sunderland win 50%, draw 25%, Stoke City win 25%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 2.73.
Over 2.5 goals probability 51%; both teams to score probability 54%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 50% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 25% |
| Away win (2) | 25% |
| 1X | 75% |
| X2 | 50% |
| 12 | 75% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 6% | 94% |
| 1.5 | 24% | 76% |
| 2.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 3.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 4.5 | 86% | 14% |
| 5.5 | 94% | 6% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 54% | No 46% |
First half
| 1 | 37% |
|---|---|
| X | 41% |
| 2 | 22% |
| Over 0.5 | 71% |
| Over 1.5 | 35% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 27% | – | 73% |
| -1.0 | 27% | 24% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | – | 50% |
| +0.0 | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| +0.5 | 75% | – | 25% |
| +1.0 | 75% | 16% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | – | 10% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 1:111.6%
- 1:010.7%
- 2:19.6%
- 2:08.8%
- 0:17.1%
- 0:06.5%
Expected goals: Sunderland 1.64 · Stoke City 1.09
Team statistics
| Sunderlandhome | Stoke Cityaway | |
| Matches | 10 | 10 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.60 | 0.70 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 30% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 10% |
| Both teams to score | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 30% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 10% | 50% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Sunderland — recent matches
Stoke City — recent matches
Sunderland — home
Head-to-head
- 24.12.29 Stoke City – Sunderland 1-0 (0-0)
- 24.12.07 Sunderland – Stoke City 2-1 (1-1)
- Манай санд байгаа өмнөх тоглолтууд — дунд нь манай санд байхгүй тоглолт байж болно
- 24.01.27 Sunderland – Stoke City 3-1 (1-0)
- 23.10.21 Stoke City – Sunderland 2-1 (1-1)
- 23.03.04 Sunderland – Stoke City 1-5 (0-1)
- 22.08.20 Stoke City – Sunderland 0-1 (0-1)
Sunderland — trends
Stoke City — trends
Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.
FA Cup (England) — other matches on this date
- 03:45Wycombe – Portsmouth 2-0
- 04:00Aston Villa – West Ham 2-1
- 20:00Bristol City – Wolves 1-2
- 20:00Middlesbrough – Blackburn 0-1
- 20:00Birmingham – Lincoln 2-1
- 20:15Liverpool – Accrington ST 4-0
- 22:00Leicester – QPR 6-2
- 23:00Reading – Burnley 1-3
- 23:00Norwich – Brighton 0-4
- 23:00Chelsea – Morecambe 5-0
- 23:00Bournemouth – West Brom 5-1
- 23:00Exeter City – Oxford United 3-1