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AFC Hornchurch – Leiston: predictions and statistics
Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Expected goals · home / away
- 2.31 / 1.88
Match preview
AFC Hornchurch — Leiston: FA Cup (England), 10/2 · Wednesday, 02:45 Ulaanbaatar time. Venue: Hornchurch Stadium.
Last 5 matches — AFC Hornchurch: W D W L D; Leiston: D W D L D.
Last 1 head-to-head matches: AFC Hornchurch 0 wins, 1 draws, Leiston 0 wins.
Model probabilities: AFC Hornchurch win 48%, draw 20%, Leiston win 32%. Most likely score 2:1, expected total goals 4.19.
Over 2.5 goals probability 79%; both teams to score probability 76%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 48% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 20% |
| Away win (2) | 32% |
| 1X | 68% |
| X2 | 52% |
| 12 | 80% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 1% | 99% |
| 1.5 | 8% | 92% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 79% |
| 3.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 4.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 5.5 | 76% | 24% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 76% | No 24% |
First half
| 1 | 39% |
|---|---|
| X | 32% |
| 2 | 29% |
| Over 0.5 | 85% |
| Over 1.5 | 56% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 29% | – | 71% |
| -1.0 | 29% | 19% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | – | 52% |
| +0.0 | 48% | 20% | 32% |
| +0.5 | 68% | – | 32% |
| +1.0 | 68% | 16% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | – | 17% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 2:17.6%
- 2:27.1%
- 1:16.5%
- 1:26.2%
- 3:15.8%
- 3:25.5%
Expected goals: AFC Hornchurch 2.31 · Leiston 1.88
Team statistics
| AFC Hornchurchhome | Leistonaway | |
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 0.67 | 1.83 |
| Over 1.5 | 33% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 17% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 33% |
| Both teams to score | 17% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 17% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 50% | 50% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
AFC Hornchurch — recent matches
Leiston — recent matches
AFC Hornchurch — home
Head-to-head
FA Cup (England) — other matches on this date
- 02:45Hednesford Town – Shifnal Town FC 1-0
- 02:45Weymouth – Winchester City 3-0
- 02:45Weston-super-Mare – Chippenham Town 1-0
- 02:45Horsham – Margate 2-0
- 02:45King's Lynn Town – Worksop Town 0-0
- 02:45Peterborough Sports – Royston Town 1-0
- 02:45Kidderminster Harriers – Buxton 2-0
- 02:45Chester – Stockton Town 1-0