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Moreirense – GIL Vicente: predictions and statistics

Португалийн Primeira Liga · 11-р тойрог 11/9 · Saturday · 04:15
3 : 2
First half 0:1 Finished
PredictionHome
Predicted score1:0
Expected goals2.10
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
1.29 / 0.81

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

Moreirense — GIL Vicente: Португалийн Primeira Liga, 11-р сарын 9, Бямба, УБ-ын цагаар 04:15. Цэнгэлдэх: Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas.

Standings: Moreirense — position 8 (14 points, 10 played), GIL Vicente — position 10 (10 points, 10 played).

Last 5 matches — Moreirense: D L W W L; GIL Vicente: D L W L L.

2 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.04.20): Moreirense 0 wins, 1 draws, GIL Vicente 1 wins.

Model probabilities: Moreirense win 49%, draw 27%, GIL Vicente win 25%. Most likely score 1:0, expected total goals 2.10.

Under 2.5 goals probability 65%; both teams to score probability 39%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)49%
Draw (X)27%
Away win (2)25%
1X75%
X251%
1273%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.511%89%
1.539%61%
2.565%35%
3.584%16%
4.594%6%
5.598%2%
Both teams to scoreYes 39%No 61%

First half

133%
X48%
219%
Over 0.561%
Over 1.524%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 28%4%1% X 18%20%10% 2 2%4%13%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.522%–78%
-1.022%27%51%
-0.549%–51%
+0.049%27%25%
+0.575%–25%
+1.075%17%7%
+1.593%–7%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 1:016.9%
  2. 1:111.7%
  3. 0:011.1%
  4. 0:111.1%
  5. 2:010.1%
  6. 2:18.2%

Expected goals: Moreirense 1.29 · GIL Vicente 0.81

Team statistics

MoreirensehomeMoreirenseallGIL VicenteallGIL Vicenteaway
Matches410105
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт1.251.201.200.60
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт0.501.201.602.20
Over 1.550%70%80%80%
Over 2.525%50%60%60%
Over 3.525%30%20%20%
Both teams to score50%60%60%60%
Clean sheets50%30%30%20%
Гоол оруулаагүй25%20%30%40%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

Португалийн Primeira Liga — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт