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FC Porto – Estoril: predictions and statistics

Португалийн Primeira Liga · 10-р тойрог 11/4 · Monday · 04:30
4 : 0
First half 2:0 Finished

Estoril

WDLLW
PredictionHome
Predicted score2:0
Expected goals3.13
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
2.53 / 0.60

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

FC Porto — Estoril: Португалийн Primeira Liga, 11-р сарын 4, Даваа, УБ-ын цагаар 04:30. Цэнгэлдэх: Estádio Do Dragão.

Standings: FC Porto — position 2 (24 points, 9 played), Estoril — position 11 (9 points, 9 played).

Last 5 matches — FC Porto: W W W W W; Estoril: W D L L W.

4 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.03.31): FC Porto 1 wins, 1 draws, Estoril 2 wins.

FC Porto — 5 consecutive wins.

Model probabilities: FC Porto win 80%, draw 13%, Estoril win 7%. Most likely score 2:0, expected total goals 3.13.

Over 2.5 goals probability 61%; both teams to score probability 41%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)80%
Draw (X)13%
Away win (2)7%
1X93%
X220%
1287%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.54%96%
1.519%81%
2.539%61%
3.562%38%
4.579%21%
5.590%10%
Both teams to scoreYes 41%No 59%

First half

159%
X33%
29%
Over 0.576%
Over 1.541%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 56%3%0% X 21%9%3% 2 3%3%3%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.557%–43%
-1.057%22%20%
-0.580%–20%
+0.080%13%7%
+0.593%–7%
+1.093%6%2%
+1.598%–2%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 2:014.0%
  2. 3:011.8%
  3. 1:011.6%
  4. 2:18.4%
  5. 4:07.5%
  6. 3:17.1%

Expected goals: FC Porto 2.53 · Estoril 0.60

Team statistics

FC PortohomeFC PortoallEstorilallEstorilaway
Matches5994
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт2.602.560.890.50
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт0.400.441.331.00
Over 1.5100%100%44%25%
Over 2.580%67%44%25%
Over 3.520%22%33%25%
Both teams to score40%22%33%25%
Clean sheets60%67%33%25%
Гоол оруулаагүй0%11%56%75%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

FC Porto — trends

Ялалт ×5FC Porto 5 consecutive wins

Estoril — trends

No notable streaks.

Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.

Португалийн Primeira Liga — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт