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FSV Mainz 05 – VfL Wolfsburg: predictions and statistics

Германы Бундеслига · 30-р тойрог 4/19 · Saturday · 21:30
2 : 2
First half 2:1 Finished
PredictionHome
Predicted score2:1
Expected goals2.77
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
1.57 / 1.20

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

FSV Mainz 05 — VfL Wolfsburg: Германы Бундеслига, 4-р сарын 19, Бямба, УБ-ын цагаар 21:30. Цэнгэлдэх: MEWA ARENA.

Standings: FSV Mainz 05 — position 5 (46 points, 29 played), VfL Wolfsburg — position 12 (38 points, 29 played).

Last 5 matches — FSV Mainz 05: W D L D L; VfL Wolfsburg: D L L L L.

5 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.12.08): FSV Mainz 05 1 wins, 1 draws, VfL Wolfsburg 3 wins.

FSV Mainz 05 — 10 matches unbeaten (home).

VfL Wolfsburg — 4 consecutive losses.

Model probabilities: FSV Mainz 05 win 45%, draw 28%, VfL Wolfsburg win 28%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 2.77.

Over 2.5 goals probability 52%; both teams to score probability 57%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)45%
Draw (X)28%
Away win (2)28%
1X72%
X255%
1272%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.58%92%
1.522%78%
2.548%52%
3.570%30%
4.585%15%
5.594%6%
Both teams to scoreYes 57%No 43%

First half

135%
X41%
224%
Over 0.571%
Over 1.535%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 28%5%2% X 15%15%11% 2 3%5%17%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.523%–77%
-1.023%21%55%
-0.545%–55%
+0.045%28%28%
+0.572%–28%
+1.072%16%12%
+1.588%–12%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 1:113.2%
  2. 2:19.3%
  3. 1:08.4%
  4. 2:07.7%
  5. 0:07.7%
  6. 1:27.1%

Expected goals: FSV Mainz 05 1.57 · VfL Wolfsburg 1.20

Team statistics

FSV Mainz 05homeFSV Mainz 05allVfL WolfsburgallVfL Wolfsburgaway
Matches10101010
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт1.701.300.901.80
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт0.601.101.101.30
Over 1.590%80%60%70%
Over 2.530%40%30%60%
Over 3.520%30%10%40%
Both teams to score50%50%60%70%
Clean sheets50%30%10%10%
Гоол оруулаагүй10%30%40%20%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

FSV Mainz 05 — trends

Unbeaten ×10 (home)FSV Mainz 05 10 matches unbeaten (home)

VfL Wolfsburg — trends

Losses ×4VfL Wolfsburg 4 consecutive losses

Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.

Германы Бундеслига — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт