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Atalanta – AS Roma: predictions and statistics

Италийн Сери А · 36-р тойрог 5/13 · Tuesday · 02:45
2 : 1
First half 1:1 Finished

AS Roma

DDWWW
PredictionHome
Predicted score1:0
Expected goals2.73
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
1.63 / 1.11

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

Atalanta — AS Roma: Италийн Сери А, 5-р сарын 13, Мягмар, УБ-ын цагаар 02:45. Цэнгэлдэх: Gewiss Stadium.

Standings: Atalanta — position 3 (68 points, 35 played), AS Roma — position 6 (63 points, 35 played).

Last 5 matches — Atalanta: L W W D W; AS Roma: D D W W W.

5 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.12.03): Atalanta 4 wins, 1 draws, AS Roma 0 wins.

Atalanta — 7 consecutive matches with under 2.5 goals (home).

AS Roma — 19 matches unbeaten.

Model probabilities: Atalanta win 49%, draw 26%, AS Roma win 25%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 2.73.

Over 2.5 goals probability 51%; both teams to score probability 55%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)49%
Draw (X)26%
Away win (2)25%
1X75%
X251%
1274%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.57%93%
1.524%76%
2.549%51%
3.571%29%
4.586%14%
5.594%6%
Both teams to scoreYes 55%No 45%

First half

137%
X41%
222%
Over 0.571%
Over 1.535%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 30%5%2% X 16%15%10% 2 3%5%15%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.526%–74%
-1.026%23%51%
-0.549%–51%
+0.049%26%25%
+0.575%–25%
+1.075%15%10%
+1.590%–10%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 1:112.5%
  2. 1:09.8%
  3. 2:19.5%
  4. 2:08.6%
  5. 0:07.3%
  6. 1:26.5%

Expected goals: Atalanta 1.63 · AS Roma 1.11

Team statistics

AtalantahomeAtalantaallAS RomaallAS Romaaway
Matches10101010
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт1.001.701.401.10
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт1.100.500.300.70
Over 1.570%60%40%50%
Over 2.520%30%20%20%
Over 3.520%30%10%10%
Both teams to score50%10%30%40%
Clean sheets30%60%70%50%
Гоол оруулаагүй40%40%0%10%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

Atalanta — trends

2.5− ×7 (home)Atalanta 7 consecutive matches with under 2.5 goals (home)

AS Roma — trends

Unbeaten ×19AS Roma 19 matches unbeaten
Scored ×19AS Roma 19 consecutive matches scoring
2.5− ×8AS Roma 8 consecutive matches with under 2.5 goals
Clean sheets ×3AS Roma 3 consecutive clean sheets

Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.

Италийн Сери А — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт