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Genoa – Lecce: predictions and statistics

Италийн Сери А · 29-р тойрог 3/15 · Saturday · 03:45

Genoa

DWLDD
2 : 1
First half 2:0 Finished

Lecce

DDLLL
PredictionHome
Predicted score1:0
Expected goals1.93
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
1.25 / 0.69

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

Genoa — Lecce: Италийн Сери А, 3-р сарын 15, Бямба, УБ-ын цагаар 03:45. Цэнгэлдэх: Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris.

Standings: Genoa — position 12 (32 points, 28 played), Lecce — position 16 (25 points, 28 played).

Last 5 matches — Genoa: D W L D D; Lecce: D D L L L.

3 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2025.01.05): Genoa 1 wins, 1 draws, Lecce 1 wins.

Model probabilities: Genoa win 49%, draw 32%, Lecce win 19%. Most likely score 1:0, expected total goals 1.93.

Under 2.5 goals probability 69%; both teams to score probability 37%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)49%
Draw (X)32%
Away win (2)19%
1X81%
X251%
1268%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.516%84%
1.541%59%
2.569%31%
3.587%13%
4.595%5%
5.599%1%
Both teams to scoreYes 37%No 63%

First half

134%
X49%
216%
Over 0.558%
Over 1.522%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 29%4%1% X 19%22%9% 2 2%4%11%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.523%–77%
-1.023%26%51%
-0.549%–51%
+0.049%32%19%
+0.581%–19%
+1.081%14%6%
+1.594%–6%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 1:016.8%
  2. 0:015.7%
  3. 1:113.6%
  4. 2:011.3%
  5. 0:18.7%
  6. 2:17.7%

Expected goals: Genoa 1.25 · Lecce 0.69

Team statistics

GenoahomeGenoaallLecceallLecceaway
Matches10101010
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт1.201.000.900.90
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт0.900.901.501.50
Over 1.570%70%50%50%
Over 2.530%20%50%40%
Over 3.520%10%50%40%
Both teams to score50%50%40%40%
Clean sheets40%40%30%20%
Гоол оруулаагүй20%20%60%50%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

Италийн Сери А — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт