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Genoa – Monza: predictions and statistics

Италийн Сери А · 22-р тойрог 1/28 · Tuesday · 03:45

Genoa

LWDWL
2 : 0
First half 0:0 Finished

Monza

LLLWL
PredictionHome
Predicted score1:0
Expected goals2.16
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
1.20 / 0.96

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

Genoa — Monza: Италийн Сери А, 1-р сарын 28, Мягмар, УБ-ын цагаар 03:45. Цэнгэлдэх: Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris.

Standings: Genoa — position 12 (23 points, 21 played), Monza — position 20 (13 points, 21 played).

Last 5 matches — Genoa: L W D W L; Monza: L L L W L.

3 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.08.25): Genoa 1 wins, 0 draws, Monza 2 wins.

Monza — both teams scored in the last 9 matches.

Model probabilities: Genoa win 40%, draw 31%, Monza win 28%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 2.16.

Under 2.5 goals probability 63%; both teams to score probability 44%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)40%
Draw (X)31%
Away win (2)28%
1X72%
X260%
1269%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.513%87%
1.535%65%
2.563%37%
3.583%17%
4.593%7%
5.598%2%
Both teams to scoreYes 44%No 56%

First half

130%
X47%
223%
Over 0.562%
Over 1.525%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 24%5%1% X 16%20%12% 2 2%5%16%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.518%–82%
-1.018%22%60%
-0.540%–60%
+0.040%31%28%
+0.572%–28%
+1.072%18%11%
+1.589%–11%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 1:114.3%
  2. 1:012.7%
  3. 0:012.5%
  4. 0:110.0%
  5. 2:08.3%
  6. 2:18.0%

Expected goals: Genoa 1.20 · Monza 0.96

Team statistics

GenoahomeGenoaallMonzaallMonzaaway
Matches10101010
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт0.801.001.001.00
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт1.400.901.701.50
Over 1.570%60%90%90%
Over 2.540%40%70%50%
Over 3.520%20%10%20%
Both teams to score50%50%90%60%
Clean sheets20%50%0%20%
Гоол оруулаагүй40%30%10%30%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

Genoa — trends

No notable streaks.

Monza — trends

Both teams score ×9Monza both teams scored in the last 9 matches
2.5+ ×7Monza 7 consecutive matches with over 2.5 goals
Conceded ×13Monza 13 consecutive matches conceding

Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.

Италийн Сери А — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт