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Atalanta – Napoli: predictions and statistics

Италийн Сери А · 21-р тойрог 1/19 · Sunday · 03:45
2 : 3
First half 1:2 Finished

Napoli

WWWWW
PredictionHome
Predicted score2:1
Expected goals2.76
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
1.50 / 1.27

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

Atalanta — Napoli: Италийн Сери А, 1-р сарын 19, Ням, УБ-ын цагаар 03:45. Цэнгэлдэх: Gewiss Stadium.

Standings: Atalanta — position 3 (43 points, 20 played), Napoli — position 1 (47 points, 20 played).

Last 5 matches — Atalanta: W W D D D; Napoli: W W W W W.

5 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.11.03): Atalanta 2 wins, 0 draws, Napoli 3 wins.

Atalanta — 15 matches unbeaten.

Napoli — 5 consecutive wins.

Model probabilities: Atalanta win 42%, draw 27%, Napoli win 31%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 2.76.

Over 2.5 goals probability 52%; both teams to score probability 57%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)42%
Draw (X)27%
Away win (2)31%
1X69%
X258%
1273%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.57%93%
1.523%77%
2.548%52%
3.570%30%
4.585%15%
5.594%6%
Both teams to scoreYes 57%No 43%

First half

133%
X41%
226%
Over 0.571%
Over 1.535%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 25%5%2% X 15%15%12% 2 3%5%19%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.521%–79%
-1.021%21%58%
-0.542%–58%
+0.042%27%31%
+0.569%–31%
+1.069%17%14%
+1.586%–14%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 1:112.9%
  2. 2:18.9%
  3. 1:08.5%
  4. 1:27.6%
  5. 0:07.2%
  6. 0:17.1%

Expected goals: Atalanta 1.50 · Napoli 1.27

Team statistics

AtalantahomeAtalantaallNapoliallNapoliaway
Matches9101010
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт2.891.801.401.70
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт1.330.700.700.60
Over 1.5100%80%60%70%
Over 2.578%50%40%50%
Over 3.556%20%10%20%
Both teams to score89%60%30%30%
Clean sheets11%40%50%60%
Гоол оруулаагүй0%10%20%20%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

Atalanta — trends

Unbeaten ×15Atalanta 15 matches unbeaten
Draws ×3Atalanta 3 consecutive draws

Napoli — trends

Ялалт ×5Napoli 5 consecutive wins
Unbeaten ×9 (away)Napoli 9 matches unbeaten (away)
Clean sheets ×3Napoli 3 consecutive clean sheets

Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.

Италийн Сери А — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт