The last saved data is shown below. Scores and statuses may change at the next refresh.
Red Bull Salzburg – Sturm Graz: predictions and statistics
Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Expected goals · home / away
- 1.54 / 1.41
Match preview
Red Bull Salzburg — Sturm Graz: Австрийн Бундеслига, 3-р сарын 3, Даваа, УБ-ын цагаар 00:00. Цэнгэлдэх: Red Bull Arena.
Standings: Red Bull Salzburg — position 4 (31 points, 19 played), Sturm Graz — position 1 (40 points, 19 played).
Recent matches — Red Bull Salzburg (5): D W D D W; Sturm Graz (3): D L W.
5 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.10.06): Red Bull Salzburg 1 wins, 3 draws, Sturm Graz 1 wins.
Model probabilities: Red Bull Salzburg win 39%, draw 28%, Sturm Graz win 33%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 2.95.
Over 2.5 goals probability 57%; both teams to score probability 61%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 39% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 28% |
| Away win (2) | 33% |
| 1X | 67% |
| X2 | 61% |
| 12 | 72% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 7% | 93% |
| 1.5 | 19% | 81% |
| 2.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 3.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 4.5 | 82% | 18% |
| 5.5 | 92% | 8% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 61% | No 39% |
First half
| 1 | 32% |
|---|---|
| X | 40% |
| 2 | 28% |
| Over 0.5 | 73% |
| Over 1.5 | 38% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 20% | – | 80% |
| -1.0 | 20% | 19% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | – | 61% |
| +0.0 | 39% | 28% | 33% |
| +0.5 | 67% | – | 33% |
| +1.0 | 67% | 17% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | – | 16% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 1:113.1%
- 2:18.8%
- 1:28.0%
- 0:06.9%
- 1:06.4%
- 2:06.2%
Expected goals: Red Bull Salzburg 1.54 · Sturm Graz 1.41
Team statistics
| Red Bull Salzburghome | Sturm Grazaway | |
| Matches | 9 | 1 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 2.22 | 0.00 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 0.78 | 3.00 |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 0% |
| Both teams to score | 56% | 0% |
| Clean sheets | 44% | 0% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 11% | 100% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Red Bull Salzburg — recent matches
- 25.02.23 Austria Vienna – Red Bull Salzburg 0-1 W
- 25.02.16 Red Bull Salzburg – WSG Wattens 1-1 D
- 25.02.09 Austria Klagenfurt – Red Bull Salzburg 0-0 D
- 24.12.15 Red Bull Salzburg – Austria Klagenfurt 3-0 W
- 24.12.08 Red Bull Salzburg – Rapid Vienna 2-2 D
- 24.12.05 Red Bull Salzburg – TSV Hartberg 4-0 W
Sturm Graz — recent matches
Red Bull Salzburg — home
Sturm Graz — away
Head-to-head
- Манай санд байгаа өмнөх тоглолтууд — дунд нь манай санд байхгүй тоглолт байж болно
- 24.10.06 Sturm Graz – Red Bull Salzburg 5-0 (2-0)
- 24.04.28 Red Bull Salzburg – Sturm Graz 2-2 (0-2)
- 24.03.31 Sturm Graz – Red Bull Salzburg 0-1 (0-0)
- 24.02.10 Red Bull Salzburg – Sturm Graz 1-1 (1-0)
- 23.09.17 Sturm Graz – Red Bull Salzburg 2-2 (0-1)