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Heerenveen – NEC Nijmegen: predictions and statistics

Нидерландын Eredivisie · 30-р тойрог 4/27 · Sunday · 20:30
1 : 0
First half 0:0 Finished
PredictionVisitors
Predicted score1:2
Expected goals3.16
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
1.50 / 1.65

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

Heerenveen — NEC Nijmegen: Нидерландын Eredivisie, 4-р сарын 27, Ням, УБ-ын цагаар 20:30. Цэнгэлдэх: Abe Lenstra Stadion.

Standings: Heerenveen — position 8 (37 points, 30 played), NEC Nijmegen — position 13 (33 points, 29 played).

Last 5 matches — Heerenveen: D L W L W; NEC Nijmegen: L W D L W.

5 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.10.20): Heerenveen 1 wins, 2 draws, NEC Nijmegen 2 wins.

Heerenveen — 14 consecutive matches conceding.

Model probabilities: Heerenveen win 34%, draw 25%, NEC Nijmegen win 41%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 3.16.

Over 2.5 goals probability 61%; both teams to score probability 64%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)34%
Draw (X)25%
Away win (2)41%
1X59%
X266%
1275%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.55%95%
1.517%83%
2.539%61%
3.561%39%
4.579%21%
5.590%10%
Both teams to scoreYes 64%No 36%

First half

129%
X38%
233%
Over 0.576%
Over 1.542%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 21%5%3% X 12%13%13% 2 3%5%25%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.517%–83%
-1.017%18%66%
-0.534%–66%
+0.034%25%41%
+0.559%–41%
+1.059%19%21%
+1.579%–21%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 1:111.4%
  2. 1:28.7%
  3. 2:18.0%
  4. 2:26.6%
  5. 0:16.2%
  6. 0:25.8%

Expected goals: Heerenveen 1.50 · NEC Nijmegen 1.65

Team statistics

HeerenveenhomeHeerenveenallNEC NijmegenallNEC Nijmegenaway
Matches10101010
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт1.701.701.400.70
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт1.201.701.801.60
Over 1.580%100%80%60%
Over 2.550%70%60%40%
Over 3.540%50%40%20%
Both teams to score70%90%60%20%
Clean sheets20%0%20%40%
Гоол оруулаагүй10%10%30%50%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

Heerenveen — trends

Conceded ×14Heerenveen 14 consecutive matches conceding
Both teams score ×6 (home)Heerenveen both teams scored in the last 6 matches (home)

NEC Nijmegen — trends

No notable streaks.

Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.

Нидерландын Eredivisie — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт