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Sparta Rotterdam – Ajax: predictions and statistics

Нидерландын Eredivisie · 17-р тойрог 12/22 · Sunday · 19:15
0 : 2
First half 0:0 Finished

Ajax

WWDLW
PredictionVisitors
Predicted score1:2
Expected goals3.07
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
1.36 / 1.71

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

Sparta Rotterdam — Ajax: Нидерландын Eredivisie, 12-р сарын 22, Ням, УБ-ын цагаар 19:15. Цэнгэлдэх: Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel.

Standings: Sparta Rotterdam — position 16 (12 points, 16 played), Ajax — position 2 (36 points, 16 played).

Last 5 matches — Sparta Rotterdam: L L L L D; Ajax: W W D L W.

4 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.03.17): Sparta Rotterdam 0 wins, 1 draws, Ajax 3 wins.

Sparta Rotterdam — 15 consecutive matches conceding.

Ajax — 16 consecutive matches scoring.

Model probabilities: Sparta Rotterdam win 30%, draw 25%, Ajax win 45%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 3.07.

Over 2.5 goals probability 59%; both teams to score probability 62%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)30%
Draw (X)25%
Away win (2)45%
1X55%
X270%
1275%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.55%95%
1.518%82%
2.541%59%
3.563%37%
4.580%20%
5.591%9%
Both teams to scoreYes 62%No 38%

First half

126%
X38%
236%
Over 0.575%
Over 1.540%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 18%5%3% X 11%13%15% 2 2%5%28%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.513%–87%
-1.013%16%70%
-0.530%–70%
+0.030%25%45%
+0.555%–45%
+1.055%21%24%
+1.576%–24%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 1:111.5%
  2. 1:29.2%
  3. 2:17.3%
  4. 0:17.3%
  5. 0:26.8%
  6. 2:26.3%

Expected goals: Sparta Rotterdam 1.36 · Ajax 1.71

Team statistics

Sparta RotterdamhomeSparta RotterdamallAjaxallAjaxaway
Matches810108
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт0.880.702.201.88
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт1.751.801.201.38
Over 1.588%80%90%100%
Over 2.550%40%70%62%
Over 3.525%20%40%25%
Both teams to score75%60%60%75%
Clean sheets12%0%40%25%
Гоол оруулаагүй25%40%0%0%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

Sparta Rotterdam — trends

Conceded ×15Sparta Rotterdam 15 consecutive matches conceding
Winless ×10Sparta Rotterdam 10 matches without a win

Ajax — trends

Scored ×16Ajax 16 consecutive matches scoring

Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.

Нидерландын Eredivisie — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт