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AZ Alkmaar – Heracles: predictions and statistics

Нидерландын Eredivisie · 14-р тойрог 12/1 · Sunday · 21:30
1 : 0
First half 0:0 Finished
PredictionHome
Predicted score2:0
Expected goals3.65
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
2.84 / 0.81

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

AZ Alkmaar — Heracles: Нидерландын Eredivisie, 12-р сарын 1, Ням, УБ-ын цагаар 21:30. Цэнгэлдэх: AFAS Stadion.

Standings: AZ Alkmaar — position 6 (20 points, 13 played), Heracles — position 15 (13 points, 13 played).

Last 5 matches — AZ Alkmaar: L D L L W; Heracles: L L W L D.

2 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.04.04): AZ Alkmaar 0 wins, 1 draws, Heracles 1 wins.

Model probabilities: AZ Alkmaar win 79%, draw 14%, Heracles win 7%. Most likely score 2:0, expected total goals 3.65.

Over 2.5 goals probability 71%; both teams to score probability 53%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)79%
Draw (X)14%
Away win (2)7%
1X93%
X221%
1286%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.53%97%
1.512%88%
2.529%71%
3.550%50%
4.570%30%
5.584%16%
Both teams to scoreYes 53%No 47%

First half

160%
X29%
211%
Over 0.581%
Over 1.549%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 56%3%1% X 19%7%3% 2 3%3%4%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.559%–41%
-1.059%19%21%
-0.579%–21%
+0.079%14%7%
+0.593%–7%
+1.093%5%2%
+1.598%–2%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 2:010.5%
  2. 3:09.9%
  3. 2:18.5%
  4. 3:18.0%
  5. 4:07.0%
  6. 1:06.9%

Expected goals: AZ Alkmaar 2.84 · Heracles 0.81

Team statistics

AZ AlkmaarhomeAZ AlkmaarallHeraclesallHeraclesaway
Matches610106
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт2.502.301.200.50
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт1.501.502.102.33
Over 1.583%90%80%67%
Over 2.583%90%70%67%
Over 3.533%30%40%33%
Both teams to score83%80%50%33%
Clean sheets17%10%20%17%
Гоол оруулаагүй0%10%40%67%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

Нидерландын Eredivisie — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт