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KV Mechelen – Union St. Gilloise: predictions and statistics

Бельгийн Pro League · 13-р тойрог 11/3 · Sunday · 03:45
1 : 1
First half 0:1 Finished
PredictionVisitors
Predicted score1:2
Expected goals2.95
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
1.40 / 1.55

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

KV Mechelen — Union St. Gilloise: Бельгийн Pro League, 11-р сарын 3, Ням, УБ-ын цагаар 03:45. Цэнгэлдэх: AFAS Stadion.

Standings: KV Mechelen — position 4 (20 points, 12 played), Union St. Gilloise — position 10 (15 points, 12 played).

Last 5 matches — KV Mechelen: W L W W W; Union St. Gilloise: D W D D L.

4 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2023.12.17): KV Mechelen 2 wins, 0 draws, Union St. Gilloise 2 wins.

KV Mechelen — 4 consecutive wins (home).

Model probabilities: KV Mechelen win 34%, draw 26%, Union St. Gilloise win 40%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 2.95.

Over 2.5 goals probability 57%; both teams to score probability 60%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)34%
Draw (X)26%
Away win (2)40%
1X60%
X266%
1274%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.56%94%
1.520%80%
2.543%57%
3.566%34%
4.582%18%
5.592%8%
Both teams to scoreYes 60%No 40%

First half

128%
X39%
232%
Over 0.574%
Over 1.538%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 20%5%3% X 12%14%14% 2 2%5%25%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.516%–84%
-1.016%18%66%
-0.534%–66%
+0.034%26%40%
+0.560%–40%
+1.060%20%20%
+1.580%–20%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 1:112.1%
  2. 1:28.8%
  3. 2:17.9%
  4. 0:17.4%
  5. 1:06.6%
  6. 0:26.3%

Expected goals: KV Mechelen 1.40 · Union St. Gilloise 1.55

Team statistics

KV MechelenhomeKV MechelenallUnion St. GilloiseallUnion St. Gilloiseaway
Matches610106
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт3.002.300.900.67
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт1.501.101.001.17
Over 1.5100%80%50%50%
Over 2.583%60%30%17%
Over 3.567%40%20%17%
Both teams to score50%40%30%33%
Clean sheets50%50%60%50%
Гоол оруулаагүй0%20%50%67%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

KV Mechelen — trends

Ялалт ×4 (гэртээ)KV Mechelen 4 consecutive wins (home)
Clean sheets ×3 (home)KV Mechelen 3 consecutive clean sheets (home)

Union St. Gilloise — trends

No notable streaks.

Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.

Бельгийн Pro League — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт