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Real Madrid – Real Sociedad: predictions and statistics

Испанийн Ла Лига · 38-р тойрог 5/24 · Saturday · 22:15
2 : 0
First half 1:0 Finished
PredictionHome
Predicted score1:0
Expected goals2.75
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
2.02 / 0.73

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

Real Madrid — Real Sociedad: Испанийн Ла Лига, 5-р сарын 24, Бямба, УБ-ын цагаар 22:15. Цэнгэлдэх: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu.

Standings: Real Madrid — position 2 (81 points, 37 played), Real Sociedad — position 11 (46 points, 37 played).

Last 5 matches — Real Madrid: D W L W W; Real Sociedad: L D L L W.

7 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2025.04.02): Real Madrid 4 wins, 1 draws, Real Sociedad 2 wins.

Real Madrid — 19 consecutive matches scoring.

Model probabilities: Real Madrid win 68%, draw 19%, Real Sociedad win 13%. Most likely score 1:0, expected total goals 2.75.

Over 2.5 goals probability 52%; both teams to score probability 45%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)68%
Draw (X)19%
Away win (2)13%
1X87%
X232%
1281%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.56%94%
1.524%76%
2.548%52%
3.570%30%
4.586%14%
5.594%6%
Both teams to scoreYes 45%No 55%

First half

149%
X38%
213%
Over 0.571%
Over 1.535%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 44%4%1% X 21%13%5% 2 3%4%7%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.543%–57%
-1.043%25%32%
-0.568%–32%
+0.068%19%13%
+0.587%–13%
+1.087%9%3%
+1.597%–3%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 1:013.2%
  2. 2:013.1%
  3. 2:19.5%
  4. 1:19.1%
  5. 3:08.8%
  6. 3:16.4%

Expected goals: Real Madrid 2.02 · Real Sociedad 0.73

Team statistics

Real MadridhomeReal MadridallReal SociedadallReal Sociedadaway
Matches10101010
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт2.201.901.401.20
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт1.401.501.702.30
Over 1.590%70%70%80%
Over 2.570%60%60%80%
Over 3.540%40%50%60%
Both teams to score80%60%50%50%
Clean sheets20%40%10%0%
Гоол оруулаагүй0%0%50%50%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

Real Madrid — trends

Scored ×19Real Madrid 19 consecutive matches scoring

Real Sociedad — trends

No notable streaks.

Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.

Испанийн Ла Лига — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт