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Barcelona – Atletico Madrid: predictions and statistics

Испанийн Ла Лига · 18-р тойрог 12/22 · Sunday · 04:00
1 : 2
First half 1:0 Finished
PredictionHome
Predicted score2:1
Expected goals3.14
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
1.88 / 1.26

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

Barcelona — Atletico Madrid: Испанийн Ла Лига, 12-р сарын 22, Ням, УБ-ын цагаар 04:00. Цэнгэлдэх: Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys.

Standings: Barcelona — position 1 (38 points, 18 played), Atletico Madrid — position 2 (38 points, 17 played).

Last 5 matches — Barcelona: D L W D L; Atletico Madrid: W W W W W.

4 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.03.18): Barcelona 4 wins, 0 draws, Atletico Madrid 0 wins.

Atletico Madrid — 8 consecutive wins.

Model probabilities: Barcelona win 52%, draw 23%, Atletico Madrid win 25%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 3.14.

Over 2.5 goals probability 61%; both teams to score probability 61%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)52%
Draw (X)23%
Away win (2)25%
1X75%
X248%
1277%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.54%96%
1.518%82%
2.539%61%
3.562%38%
4.579%21%
5.590%10%
Both teams to scoreYes 61%No 39%

First half

140%
X38%
223%
Over 0.576%
Over 1.541%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 33%5%2% X 16%12%9% 2 3%5%15%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.530%–70%
-1.030%22%48%
-0.552%–48%
+0.052%23%25%
+0.575%–25%
+1.075%15%11%
+1.589%–11%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 1:110.3%
  2. 2:19.6%
  3. 1:08.1%
  4. 2:07.7%
  5. 1:26.4%
  6. 2:26.1%

Expected goals: Barcelona 1.88 · Atletico Madrid 1.26

Team statistics

BarcelonahomeBarcelonaallAtletico MadridallAtletico Madridaway
Matches7101010
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт2.712.502.301.70
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт0.861.100.700.60
Over 1.571%80%70%60%
Over 2.571%80%50%30%
Over 3.543%60%40%30%
Both teams to score57%60%40%40%
Clean sheets29%20%50%50%
Гоол оруулаагүй14%20%10%10%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

Barcelona — trends

No notable streaks.

Atletico Madrid — trends

Ялалт ×8Atletico Madrid 8 consecutive wins
Unbeaten ×8Atletico Madrid 8 matches unbeaten

Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.

Испанийн Ла Лига — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт