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Atletico Madrid – Las Palmas: predictions and statistics

Испанийн Ла Лига · 12-р тойрог 11/3 · Sunday · 21:00
2 : 0
First half 1:0 Finished
PredictionHome
Predicted score2:0
Expected goals2.74
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
2.08 / 0.66

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

Atletico Madrid — Las Palmas: Испанийн Ла Лига, 11-р сарын 3, Ням, УБ-ын цагаар 21:00. Цэнгэлдэх: Riyadh Air Metropolitano.

Standings: Atletico Madrid — position 5 (20 points, 11 played), Las Palmas — position 18 (9 points, 11 played).

Last 5 matches — Atletico Madrid: D D W L W; Las Palmas: L L W W W.

2 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.02.17): Atletico Madrid 1 wins, 0 draws, Las Palmas 1 wins.

Model probabilities: Atletico Madrid win 71%, draw 19%, Las Palmas win 11%. Most likely score 2:0, expected total goals 2.74.

Over 2.5 goals probability 52%; both teams to score probability 42%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)71%
Draw (X)19%
Away win (2)11%
1X89%
X229%
1281%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.56%94%
1.524%76%
2.548%52%
3.571%29%
4.586%14%
5.594%6%
Both teams to scoreYes 42%No 58%

First half

151%
X38%
211%
Over 0.571%
Over 1.535%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 47%3%1% X 21%12%4% 2 3%3%6%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.546%–54%
-1.046%25%29%
-0.571%–29%
+0.071%19%11%
+0.589%–11%
+1.089%8%3%
+1.597%–3%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 2:014.0%
  2. 1:013.5%
  3. 3:09.7%
  4. 2:19.2%
  5. 1:18.8%
  6. 0:06.4%

Expected goals: Atletico Madrid 2.08 · Las Palmas 0.66

Team statistics

Atletico MadridhomeAtletico MadridallLas PalmasallLas Palmasaway
Matches510106
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт2.001.301.702.17
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт0.400.501.501.83
Over 1.580%60%80%100%
Over 2.560%20%50%83%
Over 3.520%10%40%50%
Both teams to score40%40%60%67%
Clean sheets60%50%20%17%
Гоол оруулаагүй20%20%20%17%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

Испанийн Ла Лига — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт