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Newcastle – Nottingham Forest: predictions and statistics

Английн Премьер лиг · 26-р тойрог 2/23 · Sunday · 22:00
4 : 3
First half 4:1 Finished
PredictionHome
Predicted score2:1
Expected goals3.07
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
2.04 / 1.03

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

Newcastle — Nottingham Forest: Английн Премьер лиг, 2-р сарын 23, Ням, УБ-ын цагаар 22:00. Цэнгэлдэх: St. James' Park.

Standings: Newcastle — position 8 (41 points, 25 played), Nottingham Forest — position 3 (47 points, 25 played).

Last 5 matches — Newcastle: W L W W L; Nottingham Forest: W L W D L.

6 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.11.10): Newcastle 4 wins, 1 draws, Nottingham Forest 1 wins.

Model probabilities: Newcastle win 61%, draw 21%, Nottingham Forest win 18%. Most likely score 2:1, expected total goals 3.07.

Over 2.5 goals probability 59%; both teams to score probability 56%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)61%
Draw (X)21%
Away win (2)18%
1X82%
X239%
1279%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.55%95%
1.519%81%
2.541%59%
3.563%37%
4.580%20%
5.591%9%
Both teams to scoreYes 56%No 44%

First half

145%
X37%
218%
Over 0.575%
Over 1.540%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 39%4%1% X 18%12%7% 2 3%4%10%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.537%–63%
-1.037%24%39%
-0.561%–39%
+0.061%21%18%
+0.582%–18%
+1.082%12%6%
+1.594%–6%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 2:19.9%
  2. 1:19.7%
  3. 2:09.7%
  4. 1:09.5%
  5. 3:16.8%
  6. 3:06.6%

Expected goals: Newcastle 2.04 · Nottingham Forest 1.03

Team statistics

NewcastlehomeNewcastleallNottingham ForestallNottingham Forestaway
Matches10101010
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт2.302.002.201.60
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт1.301.501.201.80
Over 1.5100%100%90%100%
Over 2.580%80%60%80%
Over 3.550%50%40%40%
Both teams to score50%60%40%40%
Clean sheets40%30%50%30%
Гоол оруулаагүй10%10%10%30%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

Английн Премьер лиг — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт