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Aston Villa – Leicester: predictions and statistics

Английн Премьер лиг · 20-р тойрог 1/4 · Saturday · 23:00
2 : 1
First half 0:0 Finished
PredictionHome
Predicted score2:1
Expected goals3.43
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
2.09 / 1.33

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

Aston Villa — Leicester: Английн Премьер лиг, 1-р сарын 4, Бямба, УБ-ын цагаар 23:00. Цэнгэлдэх: Villa Park.

Standings: Aston Villa — position 9 (29 points, 19 played), Leicester — position 19 (14 points, 19 played).

Last 5 matches — Aston Villa: W L W L D; Leicester: D L L L L.

3 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.08.31): Aston Villa 2 wins, 0 draws, Leicester 1 wins.

Leicester — 13 consecutive matches conceding.

Model probabilities: Aston Villa win 55%, draw 21%, Leicester win 24%. Most likely score 2:1, expected total goals 3.43.

Over 2.5 goals probability 67%; both teams to score probability 65%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)55%
Draw (X)21%
Away win (2)24%
1X76%
X245%
1279%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.53%97%
1.514%86%
2.533%67%
3.555%45%
4.574%26%
5.587%13%
Both teams to scoreYes 65%No 35%

First half

142%
X35%
222%
Over 0.579%
Over 1.546%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 35%5%2% X 16%11%8% 2 4%5%14%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.533%–67%
-1.033%22%45%
-0.555%–45%
+0.055%21%24%
+0.576%–24%
+1.076%14%10%
+1.590%–10%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 2:19.5%
  2. 1:19.1%
  3. 2:07.1%
  4. 1:06.8%
  5. 3:16.6%
  6. 2:26.3%

Expected goals: Aston Villa 2.09 · Leicester 1.33

Team statistics

Aston VillahomeAston VillaallLeicesterallLeicesteraway
Matches10101010
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт1.801.200.901.20
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт1.202.002.502.80
Over 1.580%90%100%90%
Over 2.570%80%80%80%
Over 3.550%40%50%70%
Both teams to score80%60%60%70%
Clean sheets20%10%0%10%
Гоол оруулаагүй10%30%40%30%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

Aston Villa — trends

No notable streaks.

Leicester — trends

Conceded ×13Leicester 13 consecutive matches conceding
Losses ×4Leicester 4 consecutive losses

Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.

Английн Премьер лиг — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт