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Aston Villa – Manchester City: predictions and statistics

Английн Премьер лиг · 17-р тойрог 12/21 · Saturday · 20:30
2 : 1
First half 1:0 Finished
PredictionVisitors
Predicted score1:2
Expected goals3.20
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
1.24 / 1.96

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

Aston Villa — Manchester City: Английн Премьер лиг, 12-р сарын 21, Бямба, УБ-ын цагаар 20:30. Цэнгэлдэх: Villa Park.

Standings: Aston Villa — position 7 (25 points, 16 played), Manchester City — position 5 (27 points, 16 played).

Last 5 matches — Aston Villa: D L W W L; Manchester City: L L W D L.

4 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.04.04): Aston Villa 1 wins, 1 draws, Manchester City 2 wins.

Model probabilities: Aston Villa win 24%, draw 22%, Manchester City win 54%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 3.20.

Over 2.5 goals probability 62%; both teams to score probability 61%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)24%
Draw (X)22%
Away win (2)54%
1X46%
X276%
1278%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.54%96%
1.517%83%
2.538%62%
3.560%40%
4.578%22%
5.590%10%
Both teams to scoreYes 61%No 39%

First half

122%
X37%
241%
Over 0.576%
Over 1.542%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 14%5%3% X 8%12%16% 2 2%5%34%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.510%–90%
-1.010%14%76%
-0.524%–76%
+0.024%22%54%
+0.546%–54%
+1.046%23%32%
+1.568%–32%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 1:19.9%
  2. 1:29.7%
  3. 0:18.1%
  4. 0:27.8%
  5. 1:36.3%
  6. 2:16.1%

Expected goals: Aston Villa 1.24 · Manchester City 1.96

Team statistics

Aston VillahomeAston VillaallManchester CityallManchester Cityaway
Matches910109
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт1.561.301.201.44
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт1.221.801.701.44
Over 1.578%90%90%100%
Over 2.556%70%80%67%
Over 3.544%40%20%22%
Both teams to score67%70%60%78%
Clean sheets22%10%20%11%
Гоол оруулаагүй22%20%20%11%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

Английн Премьер лиг — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт