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Manchester City – Manchester United: predictions and statistics

Английн Премьер лиг · 16-р тойрог 12/16 · Monday · 00:30
1 : 2
First half 1:0 Finished
PredictionHome
Predicted score2:1
Expected goals3.16
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
2.12 / 1.04

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

Manchester City — Manchester United: Английн Премьер лиг, 12-р сарын 16, Даваа, УБ-ын цагаар 00:30. Цэнгэлдэх: Etihad Stadium.

Standings: Manchester City — position 5 (27 points, 15 played), Manchester United — position 13 (19 points, 15 played).

Last 5 matches — Manchester City: L L L W D; Manchester United: W D W L L.

6 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.05.25): Manchester City 4 wins, 0 draws, Manchester United 2 wins.

Model probabilities: Manchester City win 62%, draw 20%, Manchester United win 18%. Most likely score 2:1, expected total goals 3.16.

Over 2.5 goals probability 61%; both teams to score probability 57%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)62%
Draw (X)20%
Away win (2)18%
1X82%
X238%
1280%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.54%96%
1.518%82%
2.539%61%
3.561%39%
4.579%21%
5.590%10%
Both teams to scoreYes 57%No 43%

First half

146%
X36%
218%
Over 0.576%
Over 1.542%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 40%4%1% X 18%11%7% 2 3%4%10%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.539%–61%
-1.039%23%38%
-0.562%–38%
+0.062%20%18%
+0.582%–18%
+1.082%12%6%
+1.594%–6%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 2:19.9%
  2. 2:09.5%
  3. 1:19.3%
  4. 1:09.1%
  5. 3:17.0%
  6. 3:06.7%

Expected goals: Manchester City 2.12 · Manchester United 1.04

Team statistics

Manchester CityhomeManchester CityallManchester UnitedallManchester Unitedaway
Matches810107
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт2.121.401.900.86
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт1.381.701.201.00
Over 1.588%90%90%71%
Over 2.588%80%60%43%
Over 3.550%30%30%0%
Both teams to score62%60%60%43%
Clean sheets25%20%30%43%
Гоол оруулаагүй12%20%20%43%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

Английн Премьер лиг — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт