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Manchester City – Manchester United: predictions and statistics
Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Expected goals · home / away
- 2.12 / 1.04
Match preview
Manchester City — Manchester United: Английн Премьер лиг, 12-р сарын 16, Даваа, УБ-ын цагаар 00:30. Цэнгэлдэх: Etihad Stadium.
Standings: Manchester City — position 5 (27 points, 15 played), Manchester United — position 13 (19 points, 15 played).
Last 5 matches — Manchester City: L L L W D; Manchester United: W D W L L.
6 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.05.25): Manchester City 4 wins, 0 draws, Manchester United 2 wins.
Model probabilities: Manchester City win 62%, draw 20%, Manchester United win 18%. Most likely score 2:1, expected total goals 3.16.
Over 2.5 goals probability 61%; both teams to score probability 57%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 62% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 20% |
| Away win (2) | 18% |
| 1X | 82% |
| X2 | 38% |
| 12 | 80% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 4% | 96% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 82% |
| 2.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 3.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 4.5 | 79% | 21% |
| 5.5 | 90% | 10% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 57% | No 43% |
First half
| 1 | 46% |
|---|---|
| X | 36% |
| 2 | 18% |
| Over 0.5 | 76% |
| Over 1.5 | 42% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 39% | – | 61% |
| -1.0 | 39% | 23% | 38% |
| -0.5 | 62% | – | 38% |
| +0.0 | 62% | 20% | 18% |
| +0.5 | 82% | – | 18% |
| +1.0 | 82% | 12% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | – | 6% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 2:19.9%
- 2:09.5%
- 1:19.3%
- 1:09.1%
- 3:17.0%
- 3:06.7%
Expected goals: Manchester City 2.12 · Manchester United 1.04
Team statistics
| Manchester Cityhome | Manchester Unitedaway | |
| Matches | 8 | 7 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 2.12 | 0.86 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.38 | 1.00 |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 88% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams to score | 62% | 43% |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 43% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 12% | 43% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Manchester City — recent matches
Manchester United — recent matches
Manchester City — home
Head-to-head
- Манай санд байгаа өмнөх тоглолтууд — дунд нь манай санд байхгүй тоглолт байж болно
- 24.05.25 Manchester City – Manchester United 1-2 (0-2)
- 24.03.03 Manchester City – Manchester United 3-1 (0-1)
- 23.10.29 Manchester United – Manchester City 0-3 (0-1)
- 23.06.03 Manchester City – Manchester United 2-1 (1-1)
- 23.01.14 Manchester United – Manchester City 2-1 (0-0)
- 22.10.02 Manchester City – Manchester United 6-3 (4-0)

