The last saved data is shown below. Updates are delayed, so scores and statuses may have changed.
Stal Mielec – Pogon Szczecin: predictions and statistics
Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Expected goals · home / away
- 1.11 / 1.31
Match preview
Stal Mielec — Pogon Szczecin: Польшийн Ekstraklasa, 2-р сарын 16, Ням, УБ-ын цагаар 19:15. Цэнгэлдэх: Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Lato.
Standings: Stal Mielec — position 13 (22 points, 20 played), Pogon Szczecin — position 7 (33 points, 20 played).
Last 5 matches — Stal Mielec: W D L L W; Pogon Szczecin: W D D W W.
Last 3 head-to-head matches: Stal Mielec 1 wins, 1 draws, Pogon Szczecin 1 wins.
Pogon Szczecin — 3 consecutive clean sheets.
Model probabilities: Stal Mielec win 30%, draw 29%, Pogon Szczecin win 40%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 2.42.
Under 2.5 goals probability 56%; both teams to score probability 50%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 30% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 29% |
| Away win (2) | 40% |
| 1X | 60% |
| X2 | 70% |
| 12 | 71% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 10% | 90% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 2.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 3.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 4.5 | 90% | 10% |
| 5.5 | 96% | 4% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 50% | No 50% |
First half
| 1 | 25% |
|---|---|
| X | 44% |
| 2 | 31% |
| Over 0.5 | 66% |
| Over 1.5 | 30% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 12% | – | 88% |
| -1.0 | 12% | 18% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | – | 70% |
| +0.0 | 30% | 29% | 40% |
| +0.5 | 60% | – | 40% |
| +1.0 | 60% | 22% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | – | 19% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 1:113.8%
- 0:110.9%
- 0:09.7%
- 1:09.0%
- 1:28.5%
- 0:27.7%
Expected goals: Stal Mielec 1.11 · Pogon Szczecin 1.31
Team statistics
| Stal Mielechome | Pogon Szczecinaway | |
| Matches | 10 | 10 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.40 | 0.90 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 30% |
| Both teams to score | 50% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 20% | 50% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Stal Mielec — recent matches
Pogon Szczecin — recent matches
Stal Mielec — home
Head-to-head
Stal Mielec — trends
No notable streaks.
Pogon Szczecin — trends
Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.