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Motor Lublin – Pogon Szczecin: predictions and statistics
Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Expected goals · home / away
- 1.23 / 1.73
Match preview
Motor Lublin — Pogon Szczecin: Польшийн Ekstraklasa, 11-р сарын 3, Ням, УБ-ын цагаар 00:30. Цэнгэлдэх: Arena Lublin.
Standings: Motor Lublin — position 11 (15 points, 13 played), Pogon Szczecin — position 6 (22 points, 13 played).
Last 5 matches — Motor Lublin: L W W L L; Pogon Szczecin: W L W L W.
Pogon Szczecin — 12 matches without a win (away).
Model probabilities: Motor Lublin win 27%, draw 25%, Pogon Szczecin win 49%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 2.96.
Over 2.5 goals probability 57%; both teams to score probability 59%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 27% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 25% |
| Away win (2) | 49% |
| 1X | 51% |
| X2 | 73% |
| 12 | 75% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 6% | 94% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 80% |
| 2.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 3.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 4.5 | 82% | 18% |
| 5.5 | 92% | 8% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 59% | No 41% |
First half
| 1 | 24% |
|---|---|
| X | 39% |
| 2 | 37% |
| Over 0.5 | 74% |
| Over 1.5 | 38% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 11% | – | 89% |
| -1.0 | 11% | 15% | 73% |
| -0.5 | 27% | – | 73% |
| +0.0 | 27% | 25% | 49% |
| +0.5 | 51% | – | 49% |
| +1.0 | 51% | 22% | 27% |
| +1.5 | 73% | – | 27% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 1:111.7%
- 1:29.5%
- 0:18.4%
- 0:27.8%
- 2:16.8%
- 2:25.9%
Expected goals: Motor Lublin 1.23 · Pogon Szczecin 1.73
Team statistics
| Motor Lublinhome | Pogon Szczecinaway | |
| Matches | 7 | 10 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.43 | 1.60 |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 29% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 14% | 30% |
| Both teams to score | 43% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 10% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 43% | 50% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Motor Lublin — recent matches
Pogon Szczecin — recent matches
Motor Lublin — home
Head-to-head
No head-to-head matches are stored.
Motor Lublin — trends
No notable streaks.
Pogon Szczecin — trends
Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.