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Gornik Zabrze – Raków Częstochowa: predictions and statistics
Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Expected goals · home / away
- 1.24 / 1.09
Match preview
Gornik Zabrze — Raków Częstochowa: Польшийн Ekstraklasa, 8-р сарын 19, Даваа, УБ-ын цагаар 02:15. Цэнгэлдэх: Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla.
Standings: Gornik Zabrze — position 9 (7 points, 4 played), Raków Częstochowa — position 8 (7 points, 4 played).
Last 5 matches — Gornik Zabrze: L L D W W; Raków Częstochowa: L W L W D.
Last 2 head-to-head matches: Gornik Zabrze 2 wins, 0 draws, Raków Częstochowa 0 wins.
Model probabilities: Gornik Zabrze win 38%, draw 31%, Raków Częstochowa win 31%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 2.33.
Under 2.5 goals probability 59%; both teams to score probability 49%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 38% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 31% |
| Away win (2) | 31% |
| 1X | 69% |
| X2 | 62% |
| 12 | 69% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 11% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 2.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 3.5 | 79% | 21% |
| 4.5 | 91% | 9% |
| 5.5 | 97% | 3% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 49% | No 51% |
First half
| 1 | 30% |
|---|---|
| X | 45% |
| 2 | 25% |
| Over 0.5 | 65% |
| Over 1.5 | 28% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 17% | – | 83% |
| -1.0 | 17% | 21% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | – | 62% |
| +0.0 | 38% | 31% | 31% |
| +0.5 | 69% | – | 31% |
| +1.0 | 69% | 18% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | – | 13% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 1:114.8%
- 0:011.4%
- 1:010.3%
- 0:18.9%
- 2:18.2%
- 2:07.5%
Expected goals: Gornik Zabrze 1.24 · Raków Częstochowa 1.09
Team statistics
| Gornik Zabrzehome | Raków Częstochowaaway | |
| Matches | 10 | 10 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.80 | 0.90 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 10% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 0% |
| Both teams to score | 60% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 50% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 10% | 30% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.