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Palmeiras – Fortaleza EC: predictions and statistics

Бразилийн Сери А · 31-р тойрог 10/27 · Sunday · 03:30
2 : 2
First half 1:1 Finished
PredictionHome
Predicted score1:0
Expected goals2.36
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
1.66 / 0.70

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

Palmeiras — Fortaleza EC: Бразилийн Сери А, 10-р сарын 27, Ням, УБ-ын цагаар 03:30. Цэнгэлдэх: Allianz Parque.

Standings: Palmeiras — position 2 (60 points, 30 played), Fortaleza EC — position 3 (56 points, 30 played).

Last 5 matches — Palmeiras: W W W D W; Fortaleza EC: D W W L D.

5 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.06.27): Palmeiras 2 wins, 2 draws, Fortaleza EC 1 wins.

Palmeiras — 10 matches unbeaten.

Fortaleza EC — 12 consecutive matches conceding (away).

Model probabilities: Palmeiras win 61%, draw 24%, Fortaleza EC win 16%. Most likely score 1:0, expected total goals 2.36.

Under 2.5 goals probability 58%; both teams to score probability 40%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)61%
Draw (X)24%
Away win (2)16%
1X84%
X239%
1276%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.59%91%
1.532%68%
2.558%42%
3.579%21%
4.591%9%
5.597%3%
Both teams to scoreYes 40%No 60%

First half

143%
X43%
214%
Over 0.565%
Over 1.529%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 38%4%1% X 20%16%6% 2 2%4%8%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.534%–66%
-1.034%27%39%
-0.561%–39%
+0.061%24%16%
+0.584%–16%
+1.084%11%4%
+1.596%–4%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 1:015.9%
  2. 2:013.1%
  3. 1:110.8%
  4. 0:09.3%
  5. 2:19.1%
  6. 3:07.2%

Expected goals: Palmeiras 1.66 · Fortaleza EC 0.70

Team statistics

PalmeirashomePalmeirasallFortaleza ECallFortaleza ECaway
Matches10101010
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт2.602.401.301.10
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт0.600.701.101.50
Over 1.5100%80%70%100%
Over 2.560%50%40%50%
Over 3.540%30%20%10%
Both teams to score40%50%60%80%
Clean sheets50%50%30%0%
Гоол оруулаагүй10%10%10%20%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

Palmeiras — trends

Unbeaten ×10Palmeiras 10 matches unbeaten
Ялалт ×4 (гэртээ)Palmeiras 4 consecutive wins (home)

Fortaleza EC — trends

Conceded ×12 (away)Fortaleza EC 12 consecutive matches conceding (away)

Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.

Бразилийн Сери А — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт