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Vasco DA Gama – Sao Paulo: predictions and statistics

Бразилийн Сери А · 11-р тойрог 6/23 · Sunday · 08:30
4 : 1
First half 2:1 Finished
PredictionVisitors
Predicted score0:1
Expected goals2.22
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
0.95 / 1.27

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

Vasco DA Gama — Sao Paulo: Бразилийн Сери А, 6-р сарын 23, Ням, УБ-ын цагаар 08:30. Цэнгэлдэх: Estádio São Januário.

Standings: Vasco DA Gama — position 18 (7 points, 10 played), Sao Paulo — position 8 (15 points, 10 played).

Last 5 matches — Vasco DA Gama: W L L D L; Sao Paulo: W W D D L.

2 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2023.10.08): Vasco DA Gama 0 wins, 1 draws, Sao Paulo 1 wins.

Vasco DA Gama — 3 consecutive matches without scoring.

Model probabilities: Vasco DA Gama win 28%, draw 28%, Sao Paulo win 44%. Most likely score 0:1, expected total goals 2.22.

Under 2.5 goals probability 62%; both teams to score probability 44%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)28%
Draw (X)28%
Away win (2)44%
1X56%
X272%
1272%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.511%89%
1.535%65%
2.562%38%
3.582%18%
4.593%7%
5.597%3%
Both teams to scoreYes 44%No 56%

First half

122%
X46%
232%
Over 0.563%
Over 1.526%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 15%5%2% X 11%19%16% 2 1%5%26%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.510%–90%
-1.010%18%72%
-0.528%–72%
+0.028%28%44%
+0.556%–44%
+1.056%24%20%
+1.580%–20%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 0:114.1%
  2. 1:112.8%
  3. 1:010.6%
  4. 0:010.5%
  5. 0:28.7%
  6. 1:28.3%

Expected goals: Vasco DA Gama 0.95 · Sao Paulo 1.27

Team statistics

Vasco DA GamahomeVasco DA GamaallSao PauloallSao Pauloaway
Matches510105
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт1.000.701.401.80
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт2.402.100.901.00
Over 1.580%80%70%80%
Over 2.580%60%60%80%
Over 3.540%20%20%40%
Both teams to score60%50%50%60%
Clean sheets20%10%40%40%
Гоол оруулаагүй40%50%30%20%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

Vasco DA Gama — trends

No goals ×3Vasco DA Gama 3 consecutive matches without scoring

Sao Paulo — trends

No notable streaks.

Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.

Бразилийн Сери А — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт