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Gamba Osaka – Nagoya Grampus: predictions and statistics
Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Expected goals · home / away
- 1.03 / 1.00
Match preview
Gamba Osaka — Nagoya Grampus: Японы J1 лиг, 10-р сарын 23, Лхагва, УБ-ын цагаар 18:00. Цэнгэлдэх: Panasonic Stadium Suita.
Standings: Gamba Osaka — position 5 (54 points, 34 played), Nagoya Grampus — position 9 (46 points, 34 played).
Last 5 matches — Gamba Osaka: D D L W D; Nagoya Grampus: W W W L L.
5 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.05.11): Gamba Osaka 3 wins, 0 draws, Nagoya Grampus 2 wins.
Model probabilities: Gamba Osaka win 35%, draw 31%, Nagoya Grampus win 34%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 2.03.
Under 2.5 goals probability 67%; both teams to score probability 41%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 35% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 31% |
| Away win (2) | 34% |
| 1X | 66% |
| X2 | 65% |
| 12 | 69% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 13% | 87% |
| 1.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 2.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 4.5 | 94% | 6% |
| 5.5 | 98% | 2% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 41% | No 59% |
First half
| 1 | 26% |
|---|---|
| X | 49% |
| 2 | 25% |
| Over 0.5 | 60% |
| Over 1.5 | 23% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 14% | – | 86% |
| -1.0 | 14% | 21% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | – | 65% |
| +0.0 | 35% | 31% | 34% |
| +0.5 | 66% | – | 34% |
| +1.0 | 66% | 21% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | – | 13% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 1:113.9%
- 0:013.5%
- 1:013.2%
- 0:112.8%
- 2:07.0%
- 2:17.0%
Expected goals: Gamba Osaka 1.03 · Nagoya Grampus 1.00
Team statistics
| Gamba Osakahome | Nagoya Grampusaway | |
| Matches | 10 | 10 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.40 | 1.10 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.10 | 1.70 |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 30% |
| Both teams to score | 60% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 30% | 30% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Gamba Osaka — recent matches
Nagoya Grampus — recent matches
Gamba Osaka — home
Head-to-head
- 24.05.11 Nagoya Grampus – Gamba Osaka 0-1 (0-0)
- Манай санд байгаа өмнөх тоглолтууд — дунд нь манай санд байхгүй тоглолт байж болно
- 23.10.21 Gamba Osaka – Nagoya Grampus 0-1 (0-1)
- 23.05.06 Nagoya Grampus – Gamba Osaka 1-0 (0-0)
- 22.08.27 Nagoya Grampus – Gamba Osaka 0-2 (0-1)
- 22.04.02 Gamba Osaka – Nagoya Grampus 3-1 (1-0)