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Sagan Tosu – Kyoto Sanga: predictions and statistics
Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Expected goals · home / away
- 1.47 / 1.10
Match preview
Sagan Tosu — Kyoto Sanga: Японы J1 лиг, 6-р сарын 22, Бямба, УБ-ын цагаар 18:00. Цэнгэлдэх: Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
Standings: Sagan Tosu — position 18 (14 points, 17 played), Kyoto Sanga — position 19 (14 points, 18 played).
Last 5 matches — Sagan Tosu: W W L L L; Kyoto Sanga: L L D D W.
4 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2023.09.30): Sagan Tosu 2 wins, 0 draws, Kyoto Sanga 2 wins.
Sagan Tosu — 3 consecutive matches without scoring.
Model probabilities: Sagan Tosu win 45%, draw 27%, Kyoto Sanga win 28%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 2.57.
Under 2.5 goals probability 53%; both teams to score probability 52%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 45% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 27% |
| Away win (2) | 28% |
| 1X | 72% |
| X2 | 55% |
| 12 | 73% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 8% | 92% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 73% |
| 2.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 3.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 4.5 | 88% | 12% |
| 5.5 | 95% | 5% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 52% | No 48% |
First half
| 1 | 34% |
|---|---|
| X | 43% |
| 2 | 23% |
| Over 0.5 | 69% |
| Over 1.5 | 32% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 22% | – | 78% |
| -1.0 | 22% | 22% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | – | 55% |
| +0.0 | 45% | 27% | 28% |
| +0.5 | 72% | – | 28% |
| +1.0 | 72% | 17% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | – | 11% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 1:113.1%
- 1:010.6%
- 2:19.1%
- 0:08.3%
- 2:08.3%
- 0:17.7%
Expected goals: Sagan Tosu 1.47 · Kyoto Sanga 1.10
Team statistics
| Sagan Tosuhome | Kyoto Sangaaway | |
| Matches | 9 | 9 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.56 | 0.78 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.44 | 1.11 |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 11% |
| Both teams to score | 33% | 44% |
| Clean sheets | 22% | 33% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 56% | 33% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Sagan Tosu — recent matches
Kyoto Sanga — recent matches
Sagan Tosu — home
Head-to-head
- Манай санд байгаа өмнөх тоглолтууд — дунд нь манай санд байхгүй тоглолт байж болно
- 23.09.30 Sagan Tosu – Kyoto Sanga 3-2 (1-1)
- 23.04.23 Kyoto Sanga – Sagan Tosu 2-3 (1-3)
- 22.10.01 Sagan Tosu – Kyoto Sanga 0-1 (0-1)
- 22.04.10 Kyoto Sanga – Sagan Tosu 3-1 (2-0)
Sagan Tosu — trends
Kyoto Sanga — trends
No notable streaks.
Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.
Японы J1 лиг — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт
- 14:00Machida Zelvia – Avispa Fukuoka 0-0
- 17:00Tokyo Verdy – Nagoya Grampus 1-0
- 17:00Albirex Niigata – Kawasaki Frontale 2-2
- 17:30Jubilo Iwata – Cerezo Osaka 1-1
- 17:30Gamba Osaka – Vissel Kobe 2-1
- 18:00Urawa – Kashima 2-2
- 18:00Kashiwa Reysol – Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-1
- 18:00Shonan Bellmare – FC Tokyo 0-1