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Shonan Bellmare – Sagan Tosu: predictions and statistics
Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Expected goals · home / away
- 1.53 / 1.43
Match preview
Shonan Bellmare — Sagan Tosu: Японы J1 лиг, 5-р сарын 6, Даваа, УБ-ын цагаар 15:00. Цэнгэлдэх: Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka.
Standings: Shonan Bellmare — position 20 (7 points, 11 played), Sagan Tosu — position 18 (8 points, 11 played).
Last 5 matches — Shonan Bellmare: L D L D L; Sagan Tosu: L L W D L.
4 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2023.06.24): Shonan Bellmare 2 wins, 1 draws, Sagan Tosu 1 wins.
Shonan Bellmare — 9 matches without a win.
Model probabilities: Shonan Bellmare win 40%, draw 25%, Sagan Tosu win 35%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 2.96.
Over 2.5 goals probability 57%; both teams to score probability 60%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 40% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 25% |
| Away win (2) | 35% |
| 1X | 65% |
| X2 | 60% |
| 12 | 75% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 5% | 95% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 80% |
| 2.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 3.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 4.5 | 82% | 18% |
| 5.5 | 92% | 8% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 60% | No 40% |
First half
| 1 | 32% |
|---|---|
| X | 39% |
| 2 | 29% |
| Over 0.5 | 74% |
| Over 1.5 | 38% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 19% | – | 81% |
| -1.0 | 19% | 20% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | – | 60% |
| +0.0 | 40% | 25% | 35% |
| +0.5 | 65% | – | 35% |
| +1.0 | 65% | 19% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | – | 17% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 1:111.6%
- 2:18.7%
- 1:28.1%
- 1:07.6%
- 0:17.1%
- 2:26.2%
Expected goals: Shonan Bellmare 1.53 · Sagan Tosu 1.43
Team statistics
| Shonan Bellmarehome | Sagan Tosuaway | |
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.50 | 0.60 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 2.25 | 2.60 |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 40% |
| Both teams to score | 75% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 25% | 40% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Shonan Bellmare — recent matches
Sagan Tosu — recent matches
Shonan Bellmare — home
Head-to-head
- Манай санд байгаа өмнөх тоглолтууд — дунд нь манай санд байхгүй тоглолт байж болно
- 23.06.24 Shonan Bellmare – Sagan Tosu 0-6 (0-2)
- 23.02.18 Sagan Tosu – Shonan Bellmare 1-5 (1-3)
- 22.10.29 Shonan Bellmare – Sagan Tosu 3-0 (2-0)
- 22.02.26 Sagan Tosu – Shonan Bellmare 1-1 (1-0)
Shonan Bellmare — trends
Sagan Tosu — trends
No notable streaks.
Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.
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