The last saved data is shown below. Updates are delayed, so scores and statuses may have changed.
Sagan Tosu – Tokyo Verdy: predictions and statistics
Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Expected goals · home / away
- 1.42 / 1.33
Match preview
Sagan Tosu — Tokyo Verdy: Японы J1 лиг, 5-р сарын 3, Баасан, УБ-ын цагаар 14:00. Цэнгэлдэх: Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
Standings: Sagan Tosu — position 18 (8 points, 10 played), Tokyo Verdy — position 15 (10 points, 10 played).
Last 5 matches — Sagan Tosu: D L L W D; Tokyo Verdy: W D D D D.
Tokyo Verdy — 4 consecutive draws.
Model probabilities: Sagan Tosu win 39%, draw 26%, Tokyo Verdy win 35%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 2.75.
Over 2.5 goals probability 52%; both teams to score probability 56%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 39% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 26% |
| Away win (2) | 35% |
| 1X | 65% |
| X2 | 61% |
| 12 | 74% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 7% | 93% |
| 1.5 | 24% | 76% |
| 2.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 3.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 4.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 5.5 | 94% | 6% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 56% | No 44% |
First half
| 1 | 31% |
|---|---|
| X | 41% |
| 2 | 28% |
| Over 0.5 | 71% |
| Over 1.5 | 35% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 19% | – | 81% |
| -1.0 | 19% | 21% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | – | 61% |
| +0.0 | 39% | 26% | 35% |
| +0.5 | 65% | – | 35% |
| +1.0 | 65% | 19% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | – | 16% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 1:112.4%
- 1:08.8%
- 2:18.6%
- 0:18.2%
- 1:28.0%
- 0:06.7%
Expected goals: Sagan Tosu 1.42 · Tokyo Verdy 1.33
Team statistics
| Sagan Tosuhome | Tokyo Verdyaway | |
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 0% |
| Both teams to score | 40% | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 25% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 40% | 25% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Sagan Tosu — recent matches
Tokyo Verdy — recent matches
Sagan Tosu — home
Head-to-head
No head-to-head matches are stored.
Sagan Tosu — trends
No notable streaks.
Tokyo Verdy — trends
Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.
Японы J1 лиг — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт
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- 14:00Kashima – Shonan Bellmare 3-1
- 14:00FC Tokyo – Kyoto Sanga 2-1
- 14:00Machida Zelvia – Kashiwa Reysol 2-0
- 14:00Cerezo Osaka – Consadole Sapporo 1-1
- 15:00Kawasaki Frontale – Urawa 3-1
- 15:00Avispa Fukuoka – Gamba Osaka 1-0
- 18:00Nagoya Grampus – Vissel Kobe 0-2